Constituency profile

Gateshead Central and Whickham

North East · Borough constituency · Gateshead borough

Mark Ferguson MP
Sitting MP

Mark Ferguson

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
Borough constituency, Gateshead council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
56.2% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +4.3pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +5.4pp
vs Reform UK 30.8%
NorthernLeave-leaning

About the Gateshead Central and Whickham constituency

Gateshead Central and Whickham is a borough constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Mark Ferguson (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.4% to 21.4% for Reform UK, a majority of 9,644 votes on a 57.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.2% and Reform UK on 30.8%, a margin of 5.4 points.

Who lives in Gateshead Central and Whickham? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
56.2%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
29.8%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
21.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
55.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
44.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
40.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
22.5%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
30.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Gateshead Central and Whickham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 9,644 votes (24.0pp) · turnout 57.6%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Gateshead Central and Whickham

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Gateshead Central and Whickham within Gateshead

Gateshead Central and Whickham sits entirely within Gateshead Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Gateshead
64 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
9 Jul 2026High Fell
Gateshead
Ref HOLDRef 40% Lab 40% LD 7%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BridgesLabour 45.8%vs Reform 23.5%May 2026 Green 36.0%vs Reform 27.4%
Labour→Green
+26.0pp
41.4%
ChowdeneLabour 48.7%vs Reform 19.9%May 2026 Reform 39.0%vs Labour 26.0%
Labour→Reform
+20.9pp
45.7%
DeckhamLabour 50.5%vs Reform 21.5%May 2026 Reform 38.6%vs Labour 32.5%
Labour→Reform
+17.5pp
42.3%
Dunston Hill and Whickham EastLabour 43.2%vs Reform 20.6%May 2026 Reform 39.4%vs Lib Dem 34.4%
Labour→Reform
+24.5pp
48.5%
Dunston and TeamsLabour 49.2%vs Reform 23.3%May 2026 Reform 38.1%vs Labour 32.1%now part of Dunston Teams Riverside
Labour→Reform
+16.0pp
40.2%
High FellLabour 46.1%vs Reform 24.3%May 2026 Reform 47.1%vs Labour 28.8%
Labour→Reform
+20.0pp
37.0%
Lobley Hill and BenshamLabour 48.7%vs Reform 22.1%May 2026 Reform 42.4%vs Labour 30.3%
Labour→Reform
+19.3pp
100.0%
Low FellLabour 44.5%vs Lib Dem 19.5%May 2026 Lib Dem 48.3%vs Reform 21.9%
Labour→Lib Dem
+29.4pp
59.5%
SaltwellLabour 47.2%vs Reform 21.9%May 2026 Labour 38.9%vs Green 22.1%
Labour share
-8.3pp
43.8%
Whickham NorthLabour 36.9%vs Reform 21.4%May 2026 Lib Dem 45.2%vs Reform 33.4%now part of Whickham North Swalwell
Labour→Lib Dem
+26.0pp
47.4%
Whickham South and SunnisideLabour 38.0%vs Reform 19.9%May 2026 Lib Dem 51.4%vs Reform 29.1%
Labour→Lib Dem
+29.8pp
54.8%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Gateshead Central and Whickham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Gateshead Central and Whickham at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdDavid Anderson Blaydon MP49.6%15.9%29.3%--5.1%9,11766.2%
2015predecessorLab holdDavid Anderson Blaydon MP49.2%17.4%12.2%17.5% UKIP3.7%-14,22766.2%+0.0
2017predecessorLab holdLiz Twist Blaydon MP56.1%28.1%9.1%5.1% UKIP1.2%0.4%13,47770.2%+4.0
2019notionalLabour winnerLiz Twist Blaydon MP, pre-review boundary47.1%33.0%12.2%-3.8%3.9%5,91159.2%
2024Lab holdMark Ferguson45.4%11.5%12.4%21.4% Ref8.0%1.3%9,64457.6%-1.6

Gateshead Central and Whickham was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Blaydon (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Gateshead Central and Whickham

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Gateshead Central and Whickham. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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