Blyth and Ashington
North East · County constituency · Northumberland
About the Blyth and Ashington constituency
Blyth and Ashington is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Ian Lavery (Labour), MP since May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.6% to 26.9% for Reform UK, a majority of 9,173 votes on a 52.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 43.4% and Reform UK on 34.6%, a margin of 8.8 points.
Who lives in Blyth and Ashington? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Blyth and Ashington vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Blyth and Ashington
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Blyth and Ashington within Northumberland
Blyth and Ashington sits entirely within Northumberland Council. Northumberland was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Northumberland | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | Hirst | Lab GAIN from Ref | Lab 50% Ref 30% Con 4% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashington Central | Labour 53.5%vs Reform 27.9% | 2025 Labour 47.9%vs Reform 47.3% | - | 27.0% |
| Bedlington Central | Labour 44.2%vs Reform 33.6% | 2025 Independent 40.9%vs Reform 33.1% | - | 37.0% |
| Bedlington East | Labour 47.5%vs Reform 32.8% | 2025 Reform 45.8%vs Labour 25.2%2025 ward: Bedlington East, covering 100% of this ward | - | 30.0% |
| Bedlington West | Labour 45.6%vs Reform 31.1% | 2025 Independent 47.7%vs Reform 28.1% | - | 37.0% |
| Bothal | Labour 57.7%vs Reform 19.7% | 2025 Reform 43.6%vs Labour 36.7% | - | 35.0% |
| Choppington | Labour 45.4%vs Reform 31.7% | 2025 Reform 32.1%vs Conservative 26.4%2025 ward: Choppington & Hepscott, covering 67% of this ward | - | 36.0% |
| College | Labour 51.6%vs Reform 28.6% | 2025 Reform 47.6%vs Labour 42.4%2025 ward: College with North Seaton, covering 67% of this ward | - | 29.0% |
| Cowpen | Labour 49.4%vs Reform 28.4% | 2025 Reform 44.7%vs Conservative 28.4%2025 ward: Cowpen, covering 67% of this ward | - | 32.0% |
| Croft | Labour 52.8%vs Reform 25.4% | 2025 Reform 59.2%vs Labour 31.1%2025 ward: Croft, covering 100% of this ward | - | 29.0% |
| Haydon | Labour 56.5%vs Reform 21.3% | 2025 Reform 46.0%vs Labour 43.7% | - | 38.0% |
| Hirst | Labour 54.0%vs Reform 25.8% | 2025 Reform 50.0%vs Labour 43.1%2025 ward: Hirst, covering 100% of this ward | - | 25.0% |
| Isabella | Labour 52.3%vs Reform 26.8% | 2025 Reform 55.0%vs Labour 37.6%2025 ward: Isabella, covering 100% of this ward | - | 31.0% |
| Kitty Brewster | Labour 47.9%vs Reform 26.8% | 2025 Reform 47.0%vs Labour 28.4%2025 ward: Bebside & Kitty Brewster, covering 60% of this ward | - | 31.0% |
| Newbiggin Central and East | Labour 48.8%vs Reform 27.9% | 2025 Independent 40.8%vs Reform 37.2%2025 ward: Newbiggin-by-the-Sea, covering 100% of this ward | - | 36.0% |
| Newsham | Labour 51.4%vs Reform 21.8% | 2025 Reform 38.1%vs Labour 33.8% | - | 30.0% |
| Plessey | Labour 45.4%vs Reform 26.1% | 2025 Reform 55.0%vs Labour 37.6%2025 ward: Isabella, covering 50% of this ward | - | 31.0% |
| Seaton with Newbiggin West | Labour 49.2%vs Reform 27.3% | 2025 Reform 47.6%vs Labour 42.4%2025 ward: College with North Seaton, covering 33% of this ward | - | 29.0% |
| Sleekburn | Labour 47.5%vs Reform 27.8% | 2025 Reform 57.7%vs Labour 33.5%2025 ward: Sleekburn, covering 67% of this ward | - | 32.0% |
| South Blyth | Labour 39.0%vs Reform 27.5% | 2025 Conservative 58.5%vs Reform 21.0%2025 ward: South Blyth, covering 67% of this ward | - | 41.0% |
| Stakeford | Labour 47.9%vs Reform 26.4% | 2025 Reform 49.1%vs Labour 37.9%2025 ward: Stakeford, covering 67% of this ward | - | 39.0% |
| Wensleydale | Labour 52.7%vs Reform 24.2% | 2025 Reform 46.2%vs Labour 42.9%2025 ward: Wensleydale, covering 67% of this ward | - | 38.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Blyth and Ashington at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Blyth and Ashington at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Ian Lavery Wansbeck MP | 45.8% | 17.5% | 27.5% | 7,031 | 61.9% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Ian Lavery Wansbeck MP | 50.0% | 21.8% | 6.2% | 10,881 | 63.5%+1.6 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Ian Lavery Wansbeck MP | 57.3% | 32.7% | 4.7% | 10,435 | 68.3%+4.8 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Ian Lavery Wansbeck MP, pre-review boundary | 47.7% | 33.5% | 6.4% | 6,118 | 57.0% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Ian Lavery | 49.6% | 15.2% | 3.5% | 9,173 | 52.7%-4.3 |
Blyth and Ashington was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Wansbeck (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Blyth and Ashington
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Blyth and Ashington. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Graduate22.6 / 25.7vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 22.4vs 16.8
- ↓Employed52.5 / 53.6vs 57.3
- ↓Graduate22.6 / 22.9vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 24.3vs 16.8
- ↑Leave58.4 / 60.4vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate22.6 / 26.3vs 33.7
- ↑Leave58.4 / 60.3vs 53.2
- ↓Employed52.5 / 53.1vs 57.3
- ↓Graduate22.6 / 27.4vs 33.7
- ↑Leave58.4 / 59.3vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 20.6vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate22.6 / 20.9vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 23.8vs 16.8
- ↑Leave58.4 / 58.6vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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