Bradford East
Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Bradford borough
About the Bradford East constituency
Bradford East is a borough constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Imran Hussain (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 37.9% to 27.5% for other parties, a majority of 6,189 votes on a 49.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has other parties on 28.4% and Labour on 22.8%, a margin of 5.6 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Bradford East? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Bradford East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Bradford East
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Bradford East within Bradford
Bradford East sits entirely within Bradford Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 100% | View projection › |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | Idle & Thackley | LD HOLD | LD 56% Ref 32% Grn 5% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton and Undercliffe | Labour 39.0%vs Others 24.9% | May 2026 Labour 31.7%vs Reform 29.3% | Labour share -7.3pp | - |
| Bowling and Barkerend | Others 41.9%vs Labour 31.0% | May 2026 Labour 33.6%vs Others 27.8% | Others→Labour +22.3pp | - |
| Bradford Moor | Labour 39.6%vs Others 30.8% | May 2026 Labour 30.8%vs Lib Dem 28.9% | Labour share -8.8pp | - |
| Eccleshill | Labour 40.0%vs Others 20.2% | May 2026 Reform 37.2%vs Lib Dem 19.1% | Labour→Reform +20.6pp | - |
| Idle and Thackley | Labour 38.3%vs Others 18.6% | 2024 Lib Dem 60.3%vs Labour 21.3% | - | - |
| Little Horton | Labour 38.7%vs Others 30.8% | May 2026 Others 51.5%vs Labour 31.9% | Labour→Others +29.1pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Bradford East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Bradford East at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD gain from Lab | David Ward | 32.8% | 26.8% | 33.7% | 365 | 62.1% |
| 2015 | Lab gain from LD | Imran Hussain | 46.6% | 11.3% | 29.5% | 7,084 | 62.6%+0.5 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Imran Hussain | 65.4% | 20.4% | 1.8% | 20,540 | 64.8%+2.2 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Imran Hussain 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 63.0% | 21.7% | 7.7% | 17,761 | 59.6%-5.2 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Imran Hussain | 37.9% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 6,189 | 49.5%-10.1 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Bradford East
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Bradford East. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Graduate21.9 / 22.5vs 33.7
- ↑No quals28.7 / 27.9vs 18.0
- ↓Age 65+14.7 / 16.9vs 22.7
- ↑No quals28.7 / 26.7vs 18.0
- ↓Graduate21.9 / 25.5vs 33.7
- ↓Employed49.9 / 50.5vs 57.3
- ↓Graduate21.9 / 23.6vs 33.7
- ↑No quals28.7 / 27.6vs 18.0
- ↓Employed49.9 / 49.8vs 57.3
- ↓Graduate21.9 / 20.4vs 33.7
- ↑No quals28.7 / 29.5vs 18.0
- ↑Under 3538.0 / 37.5vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+14.7 / 18.0vs 22.7
- ↑No quals28.7 / 21.9vs 18.0
- ↑Under 3538.0 / 33.3vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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