Brent West
London · Borough constituency · Brent borough
About the Brent West constituency
Brent West is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Barry Gardiner (Labour), first elected in May 1997. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 41.7% to 32.5% for the Conservatives, a majority of 3,793 votes on a 51.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 35.9% and the Conservatives on 31.1%, a margin of 4.8 points.
Who lives in Brent West? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Brent West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Brent West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Brent West within Brent
Brent West sits entirely within Brent Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Brent | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperton | Labour 39.8%vs Conservative 30.3% | May 2026 Lib Dem 47.1%vs Labour 18.2% | Labour→Lib Dem +27.7pp | - |
| Barnhill | Labour 44.3%vs Conservative 28.0% | May 2026 Labour 28.9%vs Conservative 23.2% | Labour share -15.4pp | - |
| Kenton | Conservative 42.7%vs Labour 36.2% | May 2026 Conservative 41.6%vs Green 15.9% | Conservative share -1.1pp | - |
| Northwick Park | Labour 40.0%vs Conservative 33.5% | May 2026 Green 33.6%vs Labour 23.8% | Labour→Green +20.7pp | - |
| Preston | Labour 46.0%vs Conservative 34.7% | May 2026 Conservative 34.1%vs Green 25.0% | Labour→Conservative +10.3pp | - |
| Sudbury | Labour 41.0%vs Conservative 24.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 45.9%vs Labour 19.9% | Labour→Lib Dem +27.1pp | - |
| Tokyngton | Labour 47.4%vs Conservative 32.0% | May 2026 Labour 34.0%vs Conservative 32.9% | Labour share -13.4pp | - |
| Wembley Central | Labour 44.2%vs Conservative 29.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 34.8%vs Conservative 29.7% | Labour→Lib Dem +26.5pp | - |
| Wembley Hill | Labour 41.4%vs Conservative 35.2% | May 2026 Labour 35.0%vs Conservative 31.8% | Labour share -6.3pp | - |
| Wembley Park | Labour 40.3%vs Conservative 23.5% | May 2026 Green 33.2%vs Labour 27.0% | Labour→Green +19.2pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Brent West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Brent West at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Barry Gardiner Brent North MP | 46.9% | 31.5% | 17.0% | 8,028 | 62.3% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Barry Gardiner Brent North MP | 54.3% | 33.5% | 5.0% | 10,834 | 63.5%+1.2 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Barry Gardiner Brent North MP | 62.9% | 32.7% | 2.9% | 17,061 | 68.4%+4.9 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Barry Gardiner Brent North MP, pre-review boundary | 53.3% | 33.8% | 9.1% | 9,431 | 63.3% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Barry Gardiner | 41.7% | 32.5% | 7.3% | 3,793 | 51.7%-11.6 |
Brent West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Brent North (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Brent West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Brent West. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 37.3vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 47.4vs 61.9
- ↓Leave42.8 / 43.3vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 48.3vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 33.1vs 20.2
- ↓Leave42.8 / 39.1vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 34.9vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 51.8vs 61.9
- ↓Leave42.8 / 45.1vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 38.9vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 38.2vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3538.6 / 40.2vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 48.9vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 31.5vs 20.2
- ↓Age 65+14.8 / 12.7vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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