Ilford South
London · Borough constituency
About the Ilford South constituency
Ilford South is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Jas Athwal (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 40.2% to 23.4% for an independent candidate, a majority of 6,894 votes on a 50.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 34.9% and the Conservatives on 18.7%, a margin of 16.2 points.
Who lives in Ilford South? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Ilford South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Ilford South
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Ilford South within Redbridge and Barking and Dagenham
Ilford South crosses council boundaries: Redbridge (91%), Barking and Dagenham (9%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent ward result with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | 2026 election |
|---|---|---|
| Redbridge | 91% | 2026 result › |
| Barking and Dagenham | 9% | 2026 result › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chadwell | Labour 41.8%vs Others 24.6% | May 2026 Others 26.6%vs Labour 24.5% | Labour→Others +22.0pp | 38.8% |
| Chadwell Heath | Others 35.5%vs Labour 34.0% | May 2026 Labour 39.1%vs Reform 27.2% | Others→Labour +20.3pp | 31.6% |
| Clementswood | Labour 41.1%vs Others 27.7% | May 2026 Labour 31.7%vs Others 30.3% | Labour share -9.4pp | 27.0% |
| Goodmayes | Labour 40.5%vs Others 27.4% | May 2026 Labour 32.1%vs Others 26.2% | Labour share -8.4pp | 34.6% |
| Ilford Town | Labour 40.5%vs Others 26.6% | May 2026 Others 33.0%vs Labour 31.9% | Labour→Others +20.8pp | 34.5% |
| Loxford | Labour 40.8%vs Others 27.2% | May 2026 Labour 35.4%vs Green 25.3% | Labour share -5.5pp | 31.0% |
| Mayfield | Labour 41.1%vs Others 26.6% | May 2026 Labour 34.3%vs Others 28.9% | Labour share -6.9pp | 37.1% |
| Newbury | Labour 40.8%vs Others 24.9% | May 2026 Labour 40.9%vs Others 28.0% | Labour share +0.1pp | 42.3% |
| Seven Kings | Labour 41.1%vs Others 25.9% | May 2026 Others 45.1%vs Labour 29.0% | Labour→Others +28.6pp | 39.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Ilford South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Ilford South at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Mike Gapes | 49.4% | 27.4% | 17.0% | 11,287 | 59.4% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Mike Gapes | 64.0% | 25.9% | 2.0% | 19,777 | 56.4%-3.0 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Mike Gapes | 75.8% | 20.9% | 1.3% | 31,647 | 67.5%+11.1 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Sam Tarry 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 65.2% | 21.2% | 3.3% | 20,409 | 62.6%-4.9 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Jas Athwal | 40.2% | 14.9% | 3.3% | 6,894 | 50.8%-11.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Ilford South
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Ilford South. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Private rent37.3 / 37.6vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.4 / 45.2vs 61.9
- ↓Leave43.3 / 42.8vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent37.3 / 38.9vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.4 / 38.2vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+12.4 / 10.1vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied47.4 / 48.3vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent37.3 / 33.1vs 20.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 39.1vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent37.3 / 34.9vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.4 / 51.8vs 61.9
- ↓Leave43.3 / 45.1vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.4 / 48.9vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+12.4 / 12.7vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent37.3 / 31.5vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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