Brigg and Immingham
Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency
About the Brigg and Immingham constituency
Brigg and Immingham is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Martin Vickers (Conservative), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 37.4% to 29.8% for Labour, a majority of 3,243 votes on a 58.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 35.2% and the Conservatives on 35.1%, a margin of 0.1 points - a projected change of hands from the Conservatives.
Who lives in Brigg and Immingham? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Brigg and Immingham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Brigg and Immingham
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Brigg and Immingham within North East Lincolnshire and North Lincolnshire
Brigg and Immingham crosses council boundaries: North East Lincolnshire (57%), North Lincolnshire (43%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| North East Lincolnshire | 57% | View projection › |
| North Lincolnshire | 43% | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barton | Conservative 37.6%vs Labour 31.8% | 2023 Conservative 48.8%vs Green 32.0% | - | 85.6% |
| Brigg & Wolds | Conservative 43.5%vs Labour 28.7% | 2023 Conservative 71.4%vs Labour 23.0% | - | 35.6% |
| Broughton & Scawby | Conservative 37.0%vs Labour 33.7% | 2023 Conservative 56.0%vs Labour 38.4% | - | 16.2% |
| Burton upon Stather & Winterton | Conservative 39.6%vs Labour 33.0% | 2023 Conservative 60.2%vs Labour 36.8% | - | 37.4% |
| Ferry | Conservative 40.2%vs Labour 30.6% | 2023 Conservative 59.5%vs Labour 32.9% | - | 31.0% |
| Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative 37.3%vs Reform 28.9% | May 2026 Reform 49.3%vs Conservative 29.1% | Conservative→Reform +14.3pp | - |
| Immingham | Labour 32.4%vs Reform 30.1% | May 2026 Reform 51.5%vs Conservative 22.3% | Labour→Reform +20.4pp | - |
| Scartho | Conservative 36.5%vs Labour 32.7% | May 2026 Reform 44.3%vs Conservative 25.0% | Conservative→Reform +16.7pp | - |
| Waltham | Conservative 35.7%vs Reform 29.3% | May 2026 Reform 42.0%vs Conservative 38.7% | Conservative→Reform +4.8pp | - |
| Wolds | Conservative 37.8%vs Reform 28.8% | May 2026 Reform 33.8%vs Others 32.4% | Conservative→Reform +11.7pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Brigg and Immingham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Brigg and Immingham at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con gain from Lab | Martin Vickers Cleethorpes MP | 32.6% | 42.1% | 18.2% | 4,298 | 64.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Martin Vickers Cleethorpes MP | 29.1% | 46.6% | 3.0% | 7,893 | 63.5%-0.5 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Martin Vickers Cleethorpes MP | 35.4% | 57.1% | 2.3% | 10,400 | 65.8%+2.3 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Martin Vickers Cleethorpes MP, pre-review boundary | 20.2% | 71.9% | 4.4% | 24,444 | 66.0% |
| 2024 | Con hold | Martin Vickers | 29.8% | 37.4% | 3.4% | 3,243 | 58.2%-7.8 |
Brigg and Immingham was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Cleethorpes (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Brigg and Immingham
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Brigg and Immingham. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied75.7 / 77.5vs 61.9
- ↑Leave69.1 / 64.7vs 53.2
- ↓Social rent9.6 / 9.1vs 16.8
- ↑Leave69.1 / 68.8vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.7 / 72.2vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate26.1 / 24.8vs 33.7
- ↑Leave69.1 / 66.7vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.7 / 72.4vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate26.1 / 25.5vs 33.7
- ↑Leave69.1 / 67.8vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.7 / 77.9vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3523.2 / 22.8vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.7 / 77.1vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate26.1 / 26.4vs 33.7
- ↓Social rent9.6 / 10.3vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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