Camborne and Redruth
South West · County constituency · Cornwall
About the Camborne and Redruth constituency
Camborne and Redruth is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Perran Moon (Independent), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 40.5% to 24.2% for the Conservatives, a majority of 7,806 votes on a 64.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 38.1% and Reform UK on 29.7%, a margin of 8.4 points.
Who lives in Camborne and Redruth? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Camborne and Redruth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Camborne and Redruth
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Camborne and Redruth within Cornwall
Camborne and Redruth sits entirely within Cornwall Council. Cornwall was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Cornwall | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camborne Roskear & Tuckingmill | Labour 40.3%vs Reform 22.4% | 2025 Independent 37.4%vs Reform 32.6% | - | - |
| Camborne Trelowarren | Labour 42.1%vs Conservative 22.1% | 2025 Independent 49.9%vs Reform 26.9% | - | - |
| Camborne West & Treswithian | Labour 36.0%vs Conservative 26.1% | 2025 Reform 40.2%vs Others 22.9% | - | - |
| Constantine, Mabe & Mawnan | Labour 39.0%vs Conservative 29.2% | 2025 Reform 23.5%vs Conservative 22.7% | - | - |
| Four Lanes, Beacon & Troon | Labour 40.5%vs Conservative 24.2% | 2025 Reform 44.0%vs Labour 16.7% | - | - |
| Gwinear-Gwithian & Hayle East | Labour 39.3%vs Conservative 27.1% | 2025 Reform 37.5%vs Conservative 25.9% | - | - |
| Hayle West | Labour 43.6%vs Conservative 20.5% | 2025 Reform 40.1%vs Labour 23.7% | - | - |
| Illogan & Portreath | Labour 40.5%vs Conservative 24.9% | 2025 Reform 35.6%vs Lib Dem 27.6% | - | - |
| Lanner, Stithians & Gwennap | Labour 42.2%vs Conservative 24.9% | 2025 Independent 34.3%vs Reform 31.2% | - | - |
| Perranporth | Labour 38.1%vs Conservative 27.2% | 2025 Reform 28.9%vs Independent 23.9% | - | - |
| Pool & Tehidy | Labour 41.9%vs Conservative 23.6% | 2025 Reform 51.5%vs Labour 17.3% | - | - |
| Redruth Central, Carharrack & St Day | Labour 34.5%vs Conservative 30.3% | 2025 Conservative 44.0%vs Reform 29.4% | - | - |
| Redruth North | Labour 47.5%vs Reform 20.2% | 2025 Reform 48.0%vs Labour 22.9% | - | - |
| Redruth South | Labour 38.9%vs Conservative 22.7% | 2025 Reform 35.3%vs Labour 30.1% | - | - |
| St Agnes | Labour 42.8%vs Conservative 18.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 61.6%vs Reform 18.5% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Camborne and Redruth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Camborne and Redruth at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from LD | George Eustice | 16.3% | 37.6% | 37.4% | 66 | 66.4% |
| 2015 | Con hold | George Eustice | 25.0% | 40.2% | 12.4% | 7,004 | 68.5%+2.1 |
| 2017 | Con hold | George Eustice | 44.2% | 47.5% | 6.1% | 1,577 | 70.8%+2.3 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | George Eustice 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 34.2% | 53.3% | 8.5% | 9,848 | 70.1%-0.7 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Perran Moon | 40.5% | 24.2% | 8.6% | 7,806 | 64.3%-5.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Camborne and Redruth
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Camborne and Redruth. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave58.4 / 59.9vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+27.6 / 28.9vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3526.1 / 26.0vs 30.2
- ↑Leave58.4 / 59.9vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+27.6 / 29.2vs 22.7
- ↓Graduate29.3 / 29.9vs 33.7
- ↑Age 65+27.6 / 27.7vs 22.7
- ↑Leave58.4 / 61.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate29.3 / 28.2vs 33.7
- ↓Graduate29.3 / 28.5vs 33.7
- ↑Age 65+27.6 / 30.6vs 22.7
- ↑Leave58.4 / 57.0vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+27.6 / 27.5vs 22.7
- ↑Leave58.4 / 61.8vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3526.1 / 26.4vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.