North Shropshire
West Midlands · County constituency · Shropshire
About the North Shropshire constituency
North Shropshire is a county constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Helen Morgan (Liberal Democrat), MP since December 2021. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 52.9% to 22.0% for the Conservatives, a majority of 15,311 votes on a 63.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 40.5% and Reform UK on 27.1%, a margin of 13.4 points.
Who lives in North Shropshire? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did North Shropshire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of North Shropshire
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
North Shropshire within Shropshire
North Shropshire sits entirely within Shropshire Council. Shropshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Shropshire | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellesmere Urban | Lib Dem 49.0%vs Conservative 23.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 40.9%vs Reform 28.8% | - | - |
| Gobowen, Selattyn and Weston Rhyn | Lib Dem 50.9%vs Conservative 23.0% | 2025 Green 38.4%vs Lib Dem 30.0%2025 ward: Selattyn & Gobowen, covering 60% of this ward | - | - |
| Llanymynech | Lib Dem 53.3%vs Conservative 22.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 38.2%vs Reform 35.9% | - | - |
| Market Drayton East | Lib Dem 52.1%vs Conservative 22.2% | 2025 Lib Dem 41.3%vs Reform 34.7%2025 ward: Market Drayton East & Rural, covering 100% of this ward | - | - |
| Market Drayton West | Lib Dem 52.5%vs Conservative 19.1% | 2025 Lib Dem 39.5%vs Reform 35.8%2025 ward: Market Drayton South, covering 60% of this ward | - | - |
| Oswestry East | Lib Dem 41.4%vs Conservative 25.1% | 2025 Lib Dem 42.3%vs Reform 25.2%2025 ward: Oswestry North East, covering 50% of this ward | - | - |
| Oswestry South | Lib Dem 53.5%vs Conservative 18.9% | 2025 Green 34.9%vs Lib Dem 33.2% | - | - |
| Oswestry West | Lib Dem 49.7%vs Conservative 20.3% | 2025 Lib Dem 37.3%vs Reform 24.6%2025 ward: Oswestry North, covering 100% of this ward | - | - |
| Prees | Lib Dem 51.0%vs Conservative 24.0% | 2025 Lib Dem 42.6%vs Reform 37.6% | - | - |
| Ruyton and Baschurch | Lib Dem 53.3%vs Conservative 24.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 49.5%vs Conservative 23.1% | - | - |
| Shawbury | Lib Dem 54.8%vs Conservative 21.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 43.0%vs Reform 29.3%2025 ward: Shawbury, covering 67% of this ward | - | - |
| St Martin's | Lib Dem 52.8%vs Conservative 21.5% | 2025 Reform 30.2%vs Lib Dem 21.8%2025 ward: St Martin's, covering 100% of this ward | - | - |
| St Oswald | Lib Dem 52.9%vs Conservative 21.8% | 2025 Lib Dem 31.5%vs Conservative 30.9% | - | - |
| The Meres | Lib Dem 55.2%vs Conservative 23.3% | 2025 Lib Dem 51.5%vs Reform 28.0%2025 ward: The Meres, covering 67% of this ward | - | - |
| Wem | Lib Dem 62.2%vs Conservative 17.0% | 2025 Lib Dem 41.8%vs Reform 27.2% | - | - |
| Whitchurch North | Lib Dem 52.4%vs Conservative 24.8% | 2025 Lib Dem 54.0%vs Conservative 24.0%2025 ward: Whitchurch North, covering 50% of this ward | - | - |
| Whitchurch South | Lib Dem 52.2%vs Conservative 24.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 37.7%vs Reform 36.9%2025 ward: Whitchurch South, covering 67% of this ward | - | - |
| Whittington | Lib Dem 57.3%vs Conservative 20.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 47.8%vs Reform 29.9% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for North Shropshire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won North Shropshire at past elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Owen Paterson | 18.1% | 51.5% | 20.9% | 15,828 | 65.7% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Owen Paterson | 20.1% | 51.4% | 6.0% | 16,494 | 66.7%+1.0 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Owen Paterson | 31.1% | 60.5% | 5.3% | 16,355 | 69.0%+2.3 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Owen Paterson 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 22.4% | 61.7% | 10.4% | 20,543 | 67.8%-1.2 |
| 2021by-election | LD gain from Con | Helen Morgan | 9.7% | 31.6% | 47.2% | 5,925 | 46.2% |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Helen Morgan | 6.9% | 22.0% | 52.9% | 15,311 | 63.9%-3.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced. By-elections are on the boundaries in force at the time and usually have much lower turnout than a general election.
Constituencies most like North Shropshire
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to North Shropshire. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave59.9 / 61.3vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.2 / 67.7vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3524.1 / 24.7vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.2 / 70.7vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+29.2 / 30.2vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3524.1 / 22.6vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.2 / 70.3vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+29.2 / 29.9vs 22.7
- ↑Leave59.9 / 62.0vs 53.2
- ↑Leave59.9 / 58.4vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+29.2 / 27.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3524.1 / 26.1vs 30.2
- ↑Leave59.9 / 59.9vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+29.2 / 28.9vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3524.1 / 26.0vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.