Yeovil
South West · County constituency · Somerset borough
About the Yeovil constituency
Yeovil is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Adam Dance (Liberal Democrat), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 48.5% to 23.5% for the Conservatives, a majority of 12,268 votes on a 61.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 36.1% and Reform UK on 31.2%, a margin of 4.9 points.
Who lives in Yeovil? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Yeovil vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Yeovil
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Yeovil within Somerset
Yeovil sits entirely within Somerset Council. Somerset was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Somerset | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brympton | Lib Dem 48.3%vs Conservative 23.7% | 2022 Lib Dem 62.0%vs Conservative 38.0% | - | 22.1% |
| Chard North | Lib Dem 47.3%vs Conservative 24.6% | 2022 Lib Dem 38.9%vs Conservative 34.1% | - | 68.8% |
| Chard South | Lib Dem 43.5%vs Conservative 23.5% | 2022 Lib Dem 35.9%vs Conservative 34.0% | - | 73.6% |
| Coker | Lib Dem 45.3%vs Conservative 27.6% | 2022 Lib Dem 57.5%vs Conservative 38.7% | - | 45.6% |
| Crewkerne | Lib Dem 50.8%vs Conservative 24.8% | 2022 Lib Dem 41.8%vs Conservative 38.0% | - | 72.0% |
| Ilminster | Lib Dem 49.7%vs Conservative 23.4% | 2022 Conservative 43.3%vs Lib Dem 41.8% | - | 80.9% |
| South Petherton & Islemoor | Lib Dem 60.3%vs Conservative 20.8% | 2022 Lib Dem 67.5%vs Conservative 24.6% | - | 51.9% |
| Yeovil Central | Lib Dem 47.3%vs Conservative 22.8% | 2022 Lib Dem 52.2%vs Conservative 28.1% | - | 28.1% |
| Yeovil East | Lib Dem 48.6%vs Reform 19.0% | 2022 Lib Dem 57.7%vs Conservative 24.8% | - | 25.5% |
| Yeovil South | Lib Dem 44.9%vs Conservative 27.1% | 2022 Lib Dem 36.9%vs Conservative 36.0% | - | 40.6% |
| Yeovil West | Lib Dem 45.4%vs Conservative 23.3% | 2022 Lib Dem 54.8%vs Conservative 32.2% | - | 27.2% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Yeovil at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Yeovil at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | David Laws | 5.2% | 32.9% | 55.7% | 13,036 | 69.4% |
| 2015 | Con gain from LD | Marcus Fysh | 7.1% | 42.5% | 33.1% | 5,313 | 69.1%-0.3 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Marcus Fysh | 12.5% | 54.5% | 29.7% | 14,723 | 71.6%+2.5 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Marcus Fysh 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 6.3% | 58.2% | 31.1% | 14,638 | 71.2%-0.4 |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Adam Dance | 6.1% | 23.5% | 48.5% | 12,268 | 61.3%-9.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Yeovil
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Yeovil. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave59.9 / 61.8vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 26.4vs 33.7
- ↑Age 65+28.9 / 27.5vs 22.7
- ↑Leave59.9 / 61.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 28.2vs 33.7
- ↑Age 65+28.9 / 27.7vs 22.7
- ↑Leave59.9 / 58.4vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+28.9 / 27.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3526.0 / 26.1vs 30.2
- ↑Leave59.9 / 60.6vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 27.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied66.1 / 66.1vs 61.9
- ↑Leave59.9 / 59.9vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+28.9 / 29.2vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3526.0 / 24.1vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.