Cambridge
East of England · Borough constituency · Cambridge borough
About the Cambridge constituency
Cambridge is a borough constituency in the East of England. The sitting MP is Daniel Zeichner (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.6% to 20.3% for the Liberal Democrats, a majority of 11,078 votes on a 59.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 34.4% and the Greens on 28.0%, a margin of 6.4 points.
Who lives in Cambridge? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Cambridge vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Cambridge
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Cambridge within Cambridge
Cambridge sits entirely within Cambridge Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | Labour 45.8%vs Green 22.4% | May 2026 Green 51.4%vs Labour 17.0% | Labour→Green +28.9pp | - |
| Arbury | Labour 49.1%vs Lib Dem 16.9% | May 2026 Green 32.2%vs Labour 28.3% | Labour→Green +19.3pp | - |
| Castle | Labour 45.3%vs Lib Dem 24.8% | May 2026 Green 32.2%vs Lib Dem 31.1% | Labour→Green +19.2pp | - |
| Coleridge | Labour 48.6%vs Green 17.2% | May 2026 Green 39.1%vs Labour 36.4% | Labour→Green +17.1pp | - |
| East Chesterton | Labour 47.0%vs Lib Dem 21.8% | May 2026 Labour 31.8%vs Lib Dem 27.3% | Labour share -15.2pp | - |
| King's Hedges | Labour 47.2%vs Lib Dem 17.2% | May 2026 Labour 27.2%vs Green 23.1% | Labour share -20.0pp | - |
| Market | Labour 43.6%vs Lib Dem 25.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 43.2%vs Green 30.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +23.1pp | - |
| Newnham | Labour 43.5%vs Lib Dem 23.1% | May 2026 Green 53.0%vs Lib Dem 16.6% | Labour→Green +30.0pp | - |
| Petersfield | Labour 49.9%vs Lib Dem 18.3% | May 2026 Green 40.9%vs Labour 36.3% | Labour→Green +19.0pp | - |
| Romsey | Labour 51.1%vs Green 16.6% | May 2026 Green 45.2%vs Labour 33.4% | Labour→Green +23.2pp | - |
| Trumpington | Labour 41.3%vs Lib Dem 24.9% | May 2026 Lib Dem 38.9%vs Green 26.2% | Labour→Lib Dem +20.2pp | - |
| West Chesterton | Labour 46.5%vs Lib Dem 24.4% | May 2026 Labour 31.0%vs Lib Dem 28.9% | Labour share -15.6pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Cambridge at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Cambridge at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | Julian Huppert | 24.3% | 25.6% | 39.1% | 6,792 | 67.1% |
| 2015 | Lab gain from LD | Daniel Zeichner | 36.0% | 15.7% | 34.9% | 599 | 62.1%-5.0 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Daniel Zeichner | 51.9% | 16.3% | 29.3% | 12,661 | 71.2%+9.1 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Daniel Zeichner 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 47.4% | 14.8% | 31.2% | 8,099 | 68.6%-2.6 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Daniel Zeichner | 46.6% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 11,078 | 59.9%-8.7 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Cambridge
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Cambridge. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate55.7 / 54.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave26.2 / 31.6vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3550.5 / 45.9vs 30.2
- ↓Leave26.2 / 32.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied42.3 / 44.4vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3550.5 / 44.0vs 30.2
- ↓Leave26.2 / 29.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate55.7 / 61.0vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied42.3 / 36.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave26.2 / 21.6vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3550.5 / 49.8vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied42.3 / 39.0vs 61.9
- ↓Leave26.2 / 27.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate55.7 / 61.0vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied42.3 / 44.3vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.