Constituency profile

Glasgow North

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Glasgow City

Martin Rhodes MP
Sitting MP

Martin Rhodes

Labour

MP since July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
Burgh constituency, Glasgow City council
Last 5 GE winners
LSSSL
SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
21.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -30.3pp below mean
Current outlook
SNP +8.0pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
ScottishStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavy

About the Glasgow North constituency

Glasgow North is a burgh constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Martin Rhodes (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 42.2% to 32.0% for the SNP, a majority of 3,539 votes on a 51.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 35.3% and Labour on 27.2%, a margin of 8.0 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.

Who lives in Glasgow North? Constituency demographics

From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
21.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
52.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
16.1%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
39.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
59.2%
UK average ~36%
Median age
31.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
13.2%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
49.8%
UK average ~28%

How did Glasgow North vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 3,539 votes (10.2pp) · turnout 51.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Glasgow North

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Glasgow North voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Glasgow North crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Glasgow Kelvin and Maryhill (63%), Glasgow Easterhouse and Springburn (18%), Glasgow Central (15%), Strathkelvin and Bearsden (3%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyApprox. share of Glasgow North's areaWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Glasgow Kelvin and Maryhill63%SNP 32.8%Green 26.4%Bob Doris
Glasgow Easterhouse and Springburn18%SNP 46.2%Labour 26.2%Ivan McKee
Glasgow Central15%SNP 57.4%Labour 19.4%Alison Thewliss
Strathkelvin and Bearsden3%Liberal Democrats 39.5%SNP 33.0%Adam Harley

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Glasgow North within Glasgow City

Glasgow North sits entirely within Glasgow City Council. Glasgow City was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Glasgow City
119 data zones
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
8 Mar 2024Hillhead
Glasgow City
Grn GAIN from LabLab 32% Grn 32% SNP 25%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›

Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council first preferences Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Anderston / CityLabour 43.4%vs SNP 31.8%No council data--
CanalLabour 48.6%vs SNP 35.9%2022 SNP 38.1%Labour 35.5%, Independent 12.9%, Green 5.6%, Conservative 5.2%, Others 1.7%, Lib Dem 1.2%-13.9%
HillheadLabour 37.0%vs SNP 30.2%2022 Green 36.2%SNP 28.6%, Labour 22.1%, Conservative 6.7%, Lib Dem 5.4%, Others 0.9%-37.3%
Maryhill / KelvinLabour 44.5%vs SNP 36.1%No council data--

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Glasgow North at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Glasgow North at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD SNP Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdAnn McKechin44.5%7.1%31.3%11.9%-3.2%2.0%3,89857.5%
2015SNP gain from LabPatrick Grady27.9%7.9%2.7%53.1%1.3% UKIP6.2%0.9%9,29561.4%+3.9
2017SNP holdPatrick Grady34.5%14.7%3.4%37.6%-9.7%-1,06062.1%+0.7
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerPatrick Grady 2019 MP, pre-review boundary34.1%8.8%5.2%47.6%0.6% Brx3.7%-5,58256.7%-5.4
2024Lab gain from SNPMartin Rhodes42.2%3.9%3.3%32.0%4.8% Ref12.2%1.6%3,53951.4%-5.3

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Glasgow North

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glasgow North. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.