Colne Valley
Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · Kirklees
About the Colne Valley constituency
Colne Valley is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Paul Davies (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 41.0% to 30.3% for the Conservatives, a majority of 4,963 votes on a 63.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 33.9% and the Conservatives on 26.7%, a margin of 7.2 points.
Who lives in Colne Valley? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Colne Valley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Colne Valley
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Colne Valley within Kirklees
Colne Valley sits entirely within Kirklees Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | 2026 election |
|---|---|---|
| Kirklees | 100% | 2026 result › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colne Valley | Labour 44.9%vs Conservative 28.8% | 2024 Labour 48.9%vs Conservative 20.6% | - | - |
| Golcar | Labour 44.3%vs Conservative 23.2% | 2024 Labour 39.0%vs Lib Dem 35.8% | - | - |
| Holme Valley North | Labour 37.3%vs Conservative 34.4% | May 2026 Others 37.3%vs Reform 25.3% | Labour→Others +33.4pp | 50.3% |
| Holme Valley South | Labour 42.4%vs Conservative 32.2% | May 2026 Reform 28.1%vs Conservative 25.3% | Labour→Reform +16.0pp | 53.0% |
| Lindley | Labour 36.2%vs Conservative 32.2% | May 2026 Lib Dem 31.6%vs Reform 28.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +26.2pp | 44.6% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Colne Valley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Colne Valley at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from Lab | Jason McCartney | 26.4% | 37.0% | 28.2% | 4,837 | 69.1% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Jason McCartney | 35.0% | 44.4% | 6.0% | 5,378 | 68.8%-0.3 |
| 2017 | Lab gain from Con | Thelma Walker | 47.7% | 46.2% | 4.1% | 915 | 71.6%+2.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Jason McCartney 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 36.2% | 51.2% | 7.0% | 7,761 | 72.4%+0.8 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Paul Davies | 41.0% | 30.3% | 4.3% | 4,963 | 63.6%-8.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Colne Valley
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Colne Valley. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied73.3 / 70.9vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent8.8 / 11.0vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.6 / 25.0vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied73.3 / 74.6vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent8.8 / 9.6vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.6 / 23.5vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied73.3 / 70.9vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent8.8 / 11.9vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.6 / 27.9vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied73.3 / 73.3vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent8.8 / 11.0vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.6 / 23.7vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied73.3 / 70.8vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent8.8 / 11.7vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.6 / 26.6vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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