Didcot and Wantage
South East · County constituency
About the Didcot and Wantage constituency
Didcot and Wantage is a county constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Olly Glover (Liberal Democrat), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 39.8% to 28.4% for the Conservatives, a majority of 6,233 votes on a 67.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 34.7% and Reform UK on 23.6%, a margin of 11.1 points.
Who lives in Didcot and Wantage? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Didcot and Wantage vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Didcot and Wantage
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Didcot and Wantage within South Oxfordshire and Vale of White Horse
Didcot and Wantage crosses council boundaries: South Oxfordshire (52%), Vale of White Horse (48%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| South Oxfordshire | 52% |
| Vale of White Horse | 48% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | Stanford | Con GAIN from LD | Con 46% LD 27% Ref 18% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Ridgeway | LD HOLD | LD 43% Con 24% Ref 20% |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Cholsey | LD HOLD | — |
| 21 Jun 2024 | Sutton Courtenay | LD HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blewbury & Harwell | Lib Dem 45.3%vs Conservative 30.5% | 2023 Lib Dem 71.0%vs Conservative 27.0% | - | 39.6% |
| Cholsey | Lib Dem 40.5%vs Conservative 29.8% | 2023 Lib Dem 53.6%vs Conservative 26.8% | - | 49.2% |
| Didcot North East | Lib Dem 40.5%vs Conservative 25.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 52.1%vs Conservative 28.4% | - | 35.5% |
| Didcot South | Lib Dem 33.3%vs Conservative 29.7% | 2023 Labour 43.2%vs Conservative 26.4% | - | 36.5% |
| Didcot West | Lib Dem 34.6%vs Conservative 32.0% | 2023 Conservative 37.4%vs Labour 29.5% | - | 43.5% |
| Drayton | Lib Dem 44.4%vs Conservative 25.6% | 2023 Lib Dem 72.7%vs Conservative 27.3% | - | 33.6% |
| Grove North | Lib Dem 40.6%vs Conservative 28.3% | 2023 Lib Dem 68.6%vs Conservative 31.4% | - | 28.3% |
| Hendreds | Lib Dem 35.3%vs Conservative 30.7% | 2023 Green 67.7%vs Conservative 32.3% | - | 40.5% |
| Ridgeway | Lib Dem 39.7%vs Conservative 32.0% | 2023 Lib Dem 58.0%vs Conservative 42.0% | - | 43.8% |
| Sandford & the Wittenhams | Lib Dem 35.5%vs Conservative 27.5% | 2023 Green 74.0%vs Conservative 26.0% | - | 38.8% |
| Stanford | Conservative 36.2%vs Lib Dem 35.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 44.2%vs Conservative 43.4% | - | 40.7% |
| Steventon & the Hanneys | Lib Dem 40.3%vs Conservative 32.6% | 2023 Lib Dem 64.4%vs Conservative 35.6% | - | 41.4% |
| Sutton Courtenay | Lib Dem 43.1%vs Conservative 24.4% | 2023 Lib Dem 58.5%vs Conservative 27.9% | - | 32.5% |
| Wallingford | Lib Dem 41.4%vs Conservative 24.4% | 2023 Green 42.6%vs Lib Dem 37.0% | - | 68.7% |
| Wantage & Grove Brook | Lib Dem 42.9%vs Conservative 24.9% | 2023 Lib Dem 63.6%vs Conservative 25.7% | - | 30.9% |
| Wantage Charlton | Lib Dem 43.8%vs Conservative 24.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 67.5%vs Conservative 22.1% | - | 35.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Didcot and Wantage at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Didcot and Wantage at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Edward Vaizey Wantage MP | 13.9% | 52.0% | 27.9% | 13,547 | 70.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Edward Vaizey Wantage MP | 16.0% | 53.3% | 13.1% | 21,749 | 70.3%+0.3 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Edward Vaizey Wantage MP | 26.9% | 54.2% | 14.5% | 17,380 | 74.1%+3.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | David Johnston Wantage MP, pre-review boundary | 16.0% | 49.8% | 31.3% | 10,023 | 73.1% |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Olly Glover | 14.7% | 28.4% | 39.8% | 6,233 | 67.8%-5.3 |
Didcot and Wantage was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Wantage (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Didcot and Wantage
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Didcot and Wantage. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate41.8 / 42.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.8 / 45.8vs 53.2
- ↑Employed66.1 / 64.4vs 57.3
- ↑Employed66.1 / 64.2vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate41.8 / 40.1vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.1 / 67.8vs 61.9
- ↑Employed66.1 / 65.2vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate41.8 / 40.5vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.1 / 68.6vs 61.9
- ↓Leave44.8 / 44.5vs 53.2
- ↑Employed66.1 / 65.3vs 57.3
- ↑Owner-occupied68.1 / 67.9vs 61.9
- ↓Leave44.8 / 44.6vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate41.8 / 41.5vs 33.7
- ↓No quals12.7 / 13.3vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.