Epping Forest
East of England · County constituency · Epping Forest borough
About the Epping Forest constituency
Epping Forest is a county constituency in the East of England. The sitting MP is Dr Neil Hudson (Conservative), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 43.2% to 29.6% for Labour, a majority of 5,682 votes on a 57.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 30.8% and Reform UK on 27.7%, a margin of 3.1 points.
Who lives in Epping Forest? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Epping Forest vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Epping Forest
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Epping Forest within Epping Forest
Epping Forest sits entirely within Epping Forest Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. In addition, the Essex County Council election was held on Thursday 7 May 2026; the county-division results covering this seat are shown below. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Epping Forest | 100% | View projection › |
Essex County Council election, Thursday 7 May 2026
The county council is a separate tier of local government from the district council and from Westminster. These are the results for the county divisions covering this seat; vote shares are computed from the declared per-candidate ballots.
| Division | Winner | Top 3 vote shares | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chigwell & Buckhurst Hill East | Con | Con 33% Ref 32% Grn 15% | 43.5% |
| Epping & Theydon Bois | Ref | Ref 35% Con 29% LD 29% | 53.8% |
| Loughton North | Ref | Ref 37% Independent Loughton Residents Association 34% Grn 11% | 41.1% |
| Loughton South & Buckhurst Hill West | Ref | Ref 30% Other 27% Con 21% | 49.3% |
| North Weald & Nazeing | Ref | Ref 50% Con 32% LD 10% | 46.2% |
| Waltham Abbey | Ref | Ref 50% Con 27% Lab 13% | 38.1% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge | Conservative 37.1%vs Labour 35.7% | May 2026 Reform 38.1%vs Green 33.5% | Conservative→Reform +27.8pp | 48.2% |
| Buckhurst Hill West | Conservative 48.2%vs Labour 29.6% | May 2026 Conservative 34.5%vs Reform 30.1% | Conservative share -13.6pp | 50.1% |
| Chigwell with Lambourne | Conservative 37.5%vs Reform 25.4% | May 2026 Conservative 51.1%vs Reform 38.5% | Conservative share +13.6pp | 47.2% |
| Grange Hill | Conservative 42.2%vs Labour 34.3% | May 2026 Conservative 32.6%vs Reform 26.0% | Conservative share -9.6pp | 36.2% |
| Loughton Fairmead | Conservative 33.2%vs Labour 32.9% | May 2026 Reform 40.2%vs Others 34.6% | Conservative→Reform +33.6pp | 37.9% |
| Loughton Forest | Conservative 44.0%vs Labour 23.5% | May 2026 Others 44.1%vs Reform 25.7% | Conservative→Others +36.1pp | 50.0% |
| Loughton Roding | Conservative 35.2%vs Labour 27.9% | May 2026 Others 35.8%vs Reform 35.0% | Conservative→Others +31.1pp | 39.4% |
| Loughton St John's | Conservative 38.4%vs Labour 26.6% | May 2026 Others 37.8%vs Reform 34.6% | Conservative→Others +31.7pp | 48.0% |
| North Weald Bassett | Conservative 36.0%vs Labour 26.5% | May 2026 Reform 49.5%vs Conservative 29.9% | Conservative→Reform +15.4pp | 49.1% |
| Theydon Bois with Passingford | Conservative 51.9%vs Labour 22.8% | May 2026 Reform 44.8%vs Conservative 30.7% | Conservative→Reform +33.0pp | 53.7% |
| Waltham Abbey North | Conservative 46.2%vs Labour 33.4% | May 2026 Reform 52.9%vs Conservative 22.6% | Conservative→Reform +38.2pp | 38.3% |
| Waltham Abbey West | Conservative 41.3%vs Labour 36.9% | May 2026 Reform 46.8%vs Conservative 28.2% | Conservative→Reform +29.9pp | 39.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Epping Forest at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Epping Forest at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Eleanor Laing | 14.3% | 54.0% | 21.5% | 15,131 | 64.5% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Eleanor Laing | 16.1% | 54.8% | 7.0% | 17,978 | 67.2%+2.7 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Eleanor Laing | 26.0% | 62.0% | 5.7% | 18,243 | 67.9%+0.7 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Eleanor Laing 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 20.3% | 64.4% | 10.7% | 22,173 | 67.4%-0.5 |
| 2024 | Con hold | Neil Hudson | 29.6% | 43.2% | 12.6% | 5,682 | 57.8%-9.6 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Epping Forest
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Epping Forest. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave61.0 / 60.3vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied68.2 / 68.1vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent15.5 / 17.9vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied68.2 / 67.2vs 61.9
- ↑Leave61.0 / 58.6vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied68.2 / 71.4vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent15.5 / 15.2vs 20.2
- ↑Leave61.0 / 55.5vs 53.2
- ↑Leave61.0 / 59.9vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied68.2 / 64.9vs 61.9
- ↑Owner-occupied68.2 / 64.4vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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