Erewash
East Midlands · County constituency · Erewash borough
About the Erewash constituency
Erewash is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Adam Thompson (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 40.0% to 26.4% for the Conservatives, a majority of 5,859 votes on a 60.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.0% and Reform UK on 30.9%, a margin of 0.1 points.
Who lives in Erewash? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Erewash vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Erewash
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Erewash within Erewash
Erewash sits entirely within Erewash Council. Erewash was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Erewash | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 May 2025 | Cotmanhay | Ref GAIN from Lab | Ref 58% Lab 17% Con 13% |
| 1 May 2025 | Kirk Hallam and Stanton-by-Dale | Con GAIN from Lab | Con 44% Grn 34% Lab 22% |
| 1 May 2025 | Nottingham Road | Con GAIN from Lab | Con 45% Lab 32% Grn 23% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awsworth Road | Labour 42.4%vs Conservative 22.3% | 2023 Labour 70.5%vs Conservative 29.5% | - | 21.6% |
| Breaston | Conservative 34.9%vs Labour 31.3% | 2023 Conservative 43.4%vs Green 42.5% | - | 47.4% |
| Cotmanhay | Labour 40.4%vs Reform 23.9% | 2023 Labour 58.2%vs Conservative 41.8% | - | 22.5% |
| Derby Road East | Labour 44.4%vs Reform 22.1% | 2023 Labour 62.8%vs Conservative 23.2% | - | 31.8% |
| Derby Road West | Labour 41.1%vs Conservative 28.2% | 2023 Labour 50.3%vs Conservative 43.0% | - | 40.9% |
| Draycott & Risley | Labour 37.5%vs Conservative 29.4% | 2023 Conservative 50.5%vs Labour 35.4% | - | 34.7% |
| Hallam Fields | Labour 41.2%vs Conservative 25.3% | 2023 Labour 62.5%vs Conservative 37.5% | - | 26.3% |
| Kirk Hallam & Stanton-by-Dale | Labour 42.0%vs Conservative 22.8% | 2023 Labour 65.1%vs Conservative 34.9% | - | 24.1% |
| Larklands | Labour 40.7%vs Reform 23.5% | 2023 Labour 63.3%vs Conservative 36.7% | - | 22.8% |
| Little Hallam | Labour 41.4%vs Conservative 26.6% | 2023 Labour 51.2%vs Conservative 43.8% | - | 34.7% |
| Long Eaton Central | Labour 42.1%vs Conservative 23.9% | 2023 Labour 63.0%vs Conservative 37.0% | - | 28.8% |
| Nottingham Road | Labour 42.2%vs Conservative 26.7% | 2023 Labour 54.6%vs Conservative 38.0% | - | 34.5% |
| Sandiacre | Labour 40.2%vs Conservative 28.3% | 2023 Conservative 48.4%vs Labour 42.0% | - | 33.6% |
| Sawley | Labour 40.1%vs Conservative 26.9% | 2023 Labour 44.5%vs Conservative 43.7% | - | 45.0% |
| Shipley View | Labour 40.4%vs Conservative 27.3% | 2023 Labour 55.3%vs Conservative 44.7% | - | 36.1% |
| Wilsthorpe | Labour 35.0%vs Conservative 31.2% | 2023 Conservative 41.8%vs Labour 32.3% | - | 37.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Erewash at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Erewash at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from Lab | Jessica Lee | 34.2% | 39.5% | 17.5% | 2,501 | 68.4% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Maggie Throup | 35.3% | 42.7% | 3.4% | 3,584 | 67.2%-1.2 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Maggie Throup | 43.0% | 52.1% | 2.5% | 4,534 | 68.2%+1.0 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Maggie Throup 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 34.7% | 56.5% | 5.1% | 10,606 | 67.8%-0.4 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Adam Thompson | 40.1% | 26.4% | 5.6% | 5,859 | 60.1%-7.7 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Erewash
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Erewash. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave63.2 / 60.6vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 27.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.9 / 66.1vs 61.9
- ↑Leave63.2 / 61.5vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 25.9vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.9 / 69.1vs 61.9
- ↑Leave63.2 / 66.0vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 24.9vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.9 / 69.0vs 61.9
- ↑Leave63.2 / 65.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 24.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.9 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 22.7vs 33.7
- ↑Leave63.2 / 68.9vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.9 / 67.1vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.