Exmouth and Exeter East
South West · County constituency
About the Exmouth and Exeter East constituency
Exmouth and Exeter East is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is David Reed (Conservative), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 28.7% to 28.5% for Labour, a majority of 121 votes on a 64.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 24.7% and Labour on 23.8%, a margin of 0.9 points.
Who lives in Exmouth and Exeter East? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Exmouth and Exeter East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Exmouth and Exeter East
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Exmouth and Exeter East within East Devon and Exeter
Exmouth and Exeter East crosses council boundaries: East Devon (73%), Exeter (27%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent ward result with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | 2026 election |
|---|---|---|
| East Devon | 73% | - |
| Exeter | 27% | 2026 result › |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | Exmouth Brixington | Con HOLD | Con 35% LD 30% Ref 29% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | Exmouth Halsdon | LD HOLD | LD 36% Ref 28% Con 26% |
| 13 Mar 2025 | Exe Valley | LD HOLD | LD 44% Con 24% Ref 23% |
| 9 May 2024 | Exmouth Brixington | Con HOLD | - |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broadclyst | Labour 28.7%vs Lib Dem 27.0% | 2023 Lib Dem 49.7%vs Conservative 21.8% | - | 40.5% |
| Budleigh & Raleigh | Conservative 33.0%vs Labour 24.7% | 2023 Conservative 37.9%vs Lib Dem 33.4% | - | 44.5% |
| Clyst Valley | Conservative 28.9%vs Labour 25.6% | 2023 Independent 53.3%vs Conservative 26.9% | - | 35.7% |
| Cranbrook | Labour 27.6%vs Conservative 23.6% | 2023 Independent 78.2%vs Conservative 10.1% | - | 22.3% |
| Exe Valley | Lib Dem 30.7%vs Conservative 26.9% | 2023 Lib Dem 70.5%vs Conservative 29.5% | - | 35.2% |
| Exmouth Brixington | Conservative 28.0%vs Labour 26.2% | 2023 Conservative 44.7%vs Independent 21.4% | - | 46.0% |
| Exmouth Halsdon | Labour 29.0%vs Conservative 25.4% | 2023 Lib Dem 47.3%vs Conservative 33.4% | - | 44.0% |
| Exmouth Littleham | Conservative 28.0%vs Labour 25.8% | 2023 Lib Dem 52.9%vs Conservative 33.6% | - | 38.7% |
| Exmouth Town | Labour 27.0%vs Lib Dem 25.6% | 2023 Independent 28.4%vs Green 26.9% | - | 58.9% |
| Exmouth Withycombe Raleigh | Lib Dem 28.8%vs Labour 25.1% | 2023 Lib Dem 57.8%vs Conservative 27.9% | - | 27.9% |
| Pinhoe | Labour 36.5%vs Conservative 30.6% | May 2026 Labour 33.9%vs Reform 28.2% | Labour share -2.7pp | 42.3% |
| St Loyes | Conservative 34.8%vs Labour 31.7% | May 2026 Lib Dem 25.6%vs Reform 25.5% | Conservative→Lib Dem +10.3pp | 46.0% |
| Topsham | Labour 33.7%vs Conservative 31.1% | May 2026 Labour 30.1%vs Conservative 24.2% | Labour share -3.6pp | 47.3% |
| Whimple & Rockbeare | Conservative 28.8%vs Lib Dem 25.8% | 2023 Lib Dem 51.0%vs Conservative 49.0% | - | 39.4% |
| Woodbury & Lympstone | Lib Dem 28.6%vs Conservative 28.6% | 2023 Conservative 43.0%vs Lib Dem 29.7% | - | 59.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Exmouth and Exeter East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Exmouth and Exeter East at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Hugo Swire East Devon MP | 10.8% | 48.3% | 31.2% | 9,114 | 72.6% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Hugo Swire East Devon MP | 10.2% | 46.4% | 6.8% | 12,261 | 71.5%-1.1 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Hugo Swire East Devon MP | 11.4% | 48.5% | 2.4% | 8,036 | 73.3%+1.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Simon Jupp East Devon MP, pre-review boundary | 10.5% | 49.8% | 3.0% | 8,809 | 74.9% |
| 2024 | Con hold | David Reed | 28.5% | 28.7% | 22.2% | 121 | 64.2%-10.7 |
Exmouth and Exeter East was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat East Devon (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Exmouth and Exeter East
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Exmouth and Exeter East. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 71.0vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 12.1vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.9 / 24.6vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 70.1vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+28.9 / 29.2vs 22.7
- ↓Leave48.7 / 49.1vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 71.1vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 12.1vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.9 / 25.7vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 71.8vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+28.9 / 27.6vs 22.7
- ↓No quals14.0 / 14.1vs 18.0
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 73.6vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 11.6vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.9 / 25.2vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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