South Norfolk
East of England · County constituency · South Norfolk borough
About the South Norfolk constituency
South Norfolk is a county constituency in the East of England. The sitting MP is Ben Goldsborough (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 35.0% to 29.3% for the Conservatives, a majority of 2,826 votes on a 67.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 27.0% and the Conservatives on 24.8%, a margin of 2.2 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in South Norfolk? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did South Norfolk vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of South Norfolk
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
South Norfolk within South Norfolk
South Norfolk sits entirely within South Norfolk Council. South Norfolk was not itself in the 2026 election cycle, but the Norfolk County Council election was held on Thursday 7 May 2026; the county-division results covering this seat are shown below. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| South Norfolk | 100% |
Norfolk County Council election, Thursday 7 May 2026
The county council is a separate tier of local government from the district council and from Westminster. These are the results for the county divisions covering this seat; vote shares are computed from the declared per-candidate ballots.
| Division | Winner | Top 3 vote shares | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forehoe | Con | Con 28% Ref 22% Lab 18% | 49.4% |
| Henstead | LD | LD 30% Ref 28% Con 20% | 52.1% |
| Hethersett | Lab | Lab 26% Ref 26% Con 26% | 50.2% |
| Hingham | Ref | Ref 30% LD 26% Con 22% | 47.1% |
| Loddon | Con | Con 29% Ref 27% Lab 23% | 52.6% |
| Long Stratton | Ref | Ref 35% Independent 22% Con 15% | 48.6% |
| Waveney Valley | Ref | Ref 35% Con 22% Grn 20% | 51.4% |
| Wymondham | Con | Con 35% Ref 25% Grn 18% | 48.9% |
| Yare Valley | Ref | Ref 28% Con 26% Grn 21% | 41.8% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | Central Wymondham | Con HOLD | Con 31% Grn 26% Ref 21% |
| 29 Sep 2023 | South Wymondham | LD HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke | Conservative 33.2%vs Labour 31.2% | 2023 Conservative 50.9%vs Green 24.6% | - | 43.9% |
| Central Wymondham | Labour 36.7%vs Conservative 28.9% | 2023 Conservative 37.5%vs Green 31.0% | - | 40.8% |
| Cringleford | Labour 38.0%vs Conservative 27.8% | 2023 Labour 43.8%vs Conservative 42.9% | - | 45.0% |
| Easton | Conservative 35.9%vs Labour 31.9% | 2023 Conservative 59.6%vs Labour 40.4% | - | 32.6% |
| Forncett | Conservative 31.5%vs Labour 31.2% | 2023 Conservative 38.0%vs Lib Dem 28.9% | - | 33.7% |
| Hempnall | Labour 33.4%vs Conservative 30.5% | 2023 Conservative 53.6%vs Labour 46.4% | - | 36.3% |
| Hethersett | Labour 36.6%vs Conservative 28.8% | 2023 Conservative 43.2%vs Labour 34.0% | - | 46.5% |
| Loddon & Chedgrave | Labour 42.3%vs Conservative 28.7% | 2023 Labour 45.0%vs Conservative 37.6% | - | 37.6% |
| Mulbarton & Stoke Holy Cross | Conservative 31.7%vs Labour 30.7% | 2023 Lib Dem 49.9%vs Conservative 33.6% | - | 38.5% |
| Newton Flotman | Labour 32.0%vs Conservative 30.3% | 2023 Independent 41.3%vs Conservative 33.4% | - | 40.0% |
| North Wymondham | Labour 35.0%vs Conservative 27.1% | 2023 Conservative 45.7%vs Labour 28.4% | - | 41.1% |
| Old Costessey | Labour 36.0%vs Conservative 23.0% | 2023 Lib Dem 39.2%vs Labour 32.5% | - | 28.7% |
| Poringland, Framinghams & Trowse | Labour 34.3%vs Conservative 32.7% | 2023 Conservative 52.1%vs Labour 31.7% | - | 48.4% |
| Rockland | Labour 36.7%vs Conservative 32.8% | 2023 Conservative 40.7%vs Labour 36.0% | - | 41.8% |
| South Wymondham | Labour 36.9%vs Conservative 22.5% | 2023 Lib Dem 48.4%vs Conservative 27.4% | - | 32.5% |
| Stratton | Labour 34.1%vs Conservative 31.5% | 2023 Conservative 45.7%vs Labour 42.5% | - | 26.6% |
| Thurlton | Conservative 30.8%vs Labour 30.5% | 2023 Conservative 40.0%vs Lib Dem 39.3% | - | 37.9% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for South Norfolk at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won South Norfolk at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Richard Bacon | 13.2% | 49.3% | 29.4% | 10,940 | 72.2% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Richard Bacon | 18.4% | 54.3% | 8.2% | 20,493 | 70.8%-1.4 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Richard Bacon | 30.9% | 58.2% | 8.3% | 16,678 | 73.6%+2.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Richard Bacon 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 23.4% | 56.5% | 17.0% | 17,175 | 74.3%+0.7 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Ben Goldsborough | 35.0% | 29.3% | 11.6% | 2,826 | 67.0%-7.3 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like South Norfolk
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to South Norfolk. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied73.6 / 71.8vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 11.5vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.4 / 14.7vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied73.6 / 74.4vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.4 / 11.8vs 20.2
- ↓Under 3525.2 / 24.9vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied73.6 / 74.6vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.4 / 14.6vs 20.2
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 9.6vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied73.6 / 74.5vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.4 / 13.3vs 20.2
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 10.5vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied73.6 / 71.0vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3525.2 / 24.6vs 30.2
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 12.1vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.