Constituency profile

High Peak

East Midlands · County constituency · High Peak borough

Jon Pearce MP
Sitting MP

Jon Pearce

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
East Midlands
County constituency, High Peak council
Last 5 GE winners
CCLCL
Conservative 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
50.5% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -1.4pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +12.6pp
vs Conservative 25.4%
MidlandsBrexit-marginal

About the High Peak constituency

High Peak is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Jon Pearce (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.8% to 29.7% for the Conservatives, a majority of 7,908 votes on a 66.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 38.0% and the Conservatives on 25.4%, a margin of 12.6 points.

Who lives in High Peak? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
50.5%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
35.6%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
71.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
28.2%
UK average ~36%
Median age
46.6
UK median ~40
Age 65+
25.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
24.6%
UK average ~28%

How did High Peak vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 7,908 votes (16.1pp) · turnout 66.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of High Peak

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

High Peak within High Peak

High Peak sits entirely within High Peak Council. High Peak was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
High Peak
59 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BarmsLabour 47.6%vs Conservative 26.6%2023 Labour 54.2%vs Conservative 36.6%-33.8%
BlackbrookLabour 40.8%vs Conservative 33.8%2023 Labour 38.3%vs Conservative 26.8%-89.4%
BurbageLabour 43.2%vs Conservative 31.0%2023 Labour 45.5%vs Conservative 41.0%-37.5%
Buxton CentralLabour 50.2%vs Conservative 23.9%2023 Labour 57.8%vs Conservative 31.2%-38.4%
Chapel EastLabour 41.8%vs Conservative 35.5%2023 Conservative 45.0%vs Labour 43.9%-35.8%
Chapel WestLabour 40.8%vs Conservative 36.0%2023 Labour 48.1%vs Conservative 45.5%-42.4%
CorbarLabour 44.2%vs Conservative 33.4%2023 Labour 36.1%vs Conservative 28.8%-51.4%
Cote HeathLabour 43.1%vs Conservative 30.6%2023 Conservative 47.5%vs Labour 45.2%-37.6%
DintingLabour 43.1%vs Conservative 35.4%2023 Conservative 43.7%vs Labour 41.9%-50.5%
GamesleyLabour 51.8%vs Reform 20.1%2023 Labour 75.7%vs Conservative 14.4%-16.0%
Hadfield NorthLabour 50.7%vs Conservative 22.0%2023 Labour 65.9%vs Conservative 24.7%-26.3%
Hadfield SouthLabour 49.6%vs Conservative 27.7%2023 Labour 60.6%vs Conservative 31.4%-34.8%
HayfieldLabour 44.6%vs Conservative 33.0%2023 Labour 60.4%vs Conservative 30.8%-52.6%
Hope ValleyLabour 37.1%vs Conservative 36.3%2023 Green 54.0%vs Conservative 37.5%-53.1%
Howard TownLabour 53.4%vs Conservative 21.4%2023 Labour 68.0%vs Conservative 20.9%-39.7%
Limestone PeakConservative 37.6%vs Labour 36.8%2023 Conservative 60.6%vs Labour 27.7%-32.4%
New Mills EastLabour 48.9%vs Conservative 24.4%2023 Labour 58.5%vs Lib Dem 26.8%-29.0%
New Mills WestLabour 51.7%vs Conservative 23.8%2023 Labour 53.2%vs Lib Dem 22.2%-45.3%
Old GlossopLabour 44.2%vs Conservative 31.8%2023 Conservative 47.0%vs Labour 42.3%-52.5%
PadfieldLabour 53.0%vs Conservative 24.1%2023 Labour 76.6%vs Conservative 17.5%-38.8%
SettLabour 42.7%vs Conservative 34.5%2023 Labour 55.0%vs Conservative 36.9%-51.3%
SimmondleyLabour 43.8%vs Conservative 34.1%2023 Labour 54.4%vs Conservative 45.6%-45.9%
St John'sLabour 38.6%vs Conservative 38.1%2023 Labour 55.4%vs Conservative 44.6%-44.2%
Stone BenchLabour 49.6%vs Conservative 24.1%2023 Labour 62.0%vs Conservative 29.7%-26.2%
TempleLabour 41.5%vs Conservative 36.5%2023 Conservative 44.1%vs Labour 36.8%-51.8%
TintwistleLabour 51.9%vs Conservative 24.4%2023 Labour 71.3%vs Conservative 20.0%-32.7%
Whaley BridgeLabour 44.6%vs Conservative 30.1%2023 Labour 46.6%vs Lib Dem 28.5%-51.2%
WhitfieldLabour 56.5%vs Conservative 19.2%2023 Labour 73.4%vs Conservative 16.7%-30.1%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for High Peak at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won High Peak at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con gain from LabAndrew Bingham31.6%40.9%21.8%3.4% UKIP1.8%0.5%4,67770.4%
2015Con holdAndrew Bingham35.3%45.0%4.7%11.4% UKIP3.6%-4,89469.3%-1.1
2017Lab gain from ConRuth George49.7%45.4%5.0%---2,32273.5%+4.2
2019notionalConservative winnerRobert Largan 2019 MP, pre-review boundary44.8%45.9%5.1%-2.1%2.1%59073.2%-0.3
2024Lab gain from ConJon Pearce45.8%29.7%3.5%14.1% Ref6.9%-7,90866.2%-7.0

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like High Peak

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to High Peak. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.