Glasgow East
Scotland · Burgh constituency · Glasgow City
About the Glasgow East constituency
Glasgow East is a burgh constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is John Grady (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 43.9% to 33.2% for the SNP, a majority of 3,784 votes on a 51.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 34.0% and Labour on 26.6%, a margin of 7.4 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Glasgow East? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Glasgow East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Glasgow East
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Glasgow East voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Glasgow East crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Glasgow Baillieston and Shettleston (56%), Glasgow Central (24%), Glasgow Southside (10%), Rutherglen and Cambuslang (5%), Uddingston and Bellshill (3%), Coatbridge and Chryston (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Glasgow East's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow Baillieston and Shettleston | 56% | SNP 44.7% | Reform UK 25.8% | David Linden |
| Glasgow Central | 24% | SNP 57.4% | Labour 19.4% | Alison Thewliss |
| Glasgow Southside | 10% | Green 36.5% | SNP 28.4% | Holly Bruce |
| Rutherglen and Cambuslang | 5% | SNP 44.2% | Labour 26.9% | Clare Haughey |
| Uddingston and Bellshill | 3% | SNP 41.5% | Labour 29.1% | Steven Bonnar |
| Coatbridge and Chryston | 2% | SNP 49.1% | Labour 26.1% | Fulton MacGregor |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Glasgow East within Glasgow City
Glasgow East sits entirely within Glasgow City Council. Glasgow City was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Glasgow City | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2025 | Southside Central | SNP GAIN from Lab | - |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderston / City | Labour 43.4%vs SNP 31.8% | No council data | - | - |
| Baillieston | Labour 46.6%vs SNP 34.6% | 2022 Labour 38.3%SNP 38.2%, Conservative 16.6%, Green 4.1%, Lib Dem 2.8% | - | 39.1% |
| Calton | Labour 44.9%vs SNP 35.8% | 2022 SNP 39.4%Labour 34.2%, Green 12.7%, Conservative 10.4%, Others 2.0%, Lib Dem 1.3% | - | 30.9% |
| Langside | Labour 39.3%vs SNP 31.7% | 2022 SNP 32.4%Green 27.9%, Labour 26.7%, Conservative 8.6%, Others 2.5%, Lib Dem 2.0% | - | 46.0% |
| Shettleston | Labour 48.1%vs SNP 33.7% | 2022 Labour 39.2%SNP 35.4%, Conservative 16.7%, Green 5.0%, Others 2.2%, Lib Dem 1.4% | - | 35.9% |
| Southside Central | Labour 43.9%vs SNP 34.0% | 2022 SNP 34.3%Labour 31.5%, Green 18.1%, Others 10.1%, Conservative 4.1%, Lib Dem 1.4%, Independent 0.5% | - | 37.6% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Glasgow East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Glasgow East at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Margaret Curran | 61.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 24.7% | 11,840 | 52.0% |
| 2015 | SNP gain from Lab | Natalie McGarry | 32.4% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 56.9% | 10,387 | 60.3%+8.3 |
| 2017 | SNP hold | David Linden | 38.6% | 18.8% | 1.6% | 38.8% | 75 | 54.6%-5.7 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | David Linden 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 33.5% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 48.7% | 6,276 | 59.0%+4.4 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | John Grady | 43.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 33.2% | 3,784 | 51.4%-7.6 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Glasgow East
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glasgow East. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Social rent37.1 / 33.8vs 16.8
- ↑Graduate44.0 / 44.7vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied44.9 / 51.1vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent37.1 / 46.4vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied44.9 / 39.2vs 61.9
- ↓Leave43.8 / 40.7vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent37.1 / 32.8vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied44.9 / 49.6vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+16.3 / 18.6vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied44.9 / 46.1vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate44.0 / 45.0vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent37.1 / 27.8vs 16.8
- ↑Social rent37.1 / 31.4vs 16.8
- ↓Leave43.8 / 41.0vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied44.9 / 53.0vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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