Glasgow South West
Scotland · Burgh constituency · Glasgow City
About the Glasgow South West constituency
Glasgow South West is a burgh constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Dr Zubir Ahmed (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 43.6% to 34.4% for the SNP, a majority of 3,285 votes on a 51.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 36.3% and Labour on 28.0%, a margin of 8.3 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Glasgow South West? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Glasgow South West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Glasgow South West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Glasgow South West voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Glasgow South West crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Glasgow Cathcart and Pollok (36%), Glasgow Central (27%), Glasgow Southside (20%), Renfrewshire North and Cardonald (13%), Eastwood (3%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Glasgow South West's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow Cathcart and Pollok | 36% | SNP 44.3% | Labour 28.3% | Zen Ghani |
| Glasgow Central | 27% | SNP 57.4% | Labour 19.4% | Alison Thewliss |
| Glasgow Southside | 20% | Green 36.5% | SNP 28.4% | Holly Bruce |
| Renfrewshire North and Cardonald | 13% | SNP 40.9% | Labour 26.9% | Michelle Campbell |
| Eastwood | 3% | SNP 33.2% | Conservative 31.3% | Kirsten Oswald |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Glasgow South West within Glasgow City
Glasgow South West sits entirely within Glasgow City Council. Glasgow City was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Glasgow City | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Govan | Labour 42.3%vs SNP 37.6% | 2022 SNP 38.3%Labour 29.7%, Green 15.1%, Conservative 10.0%, Others 3.5%, Independent 1.9%, Lib Dem 1.5% | - | 17.5% |
| Greater Pollok | Labour 50.4%vs SNP 35.2% | 2022 Labour 43.7%SNP 38.5%, Conservative 9.4%, Green 3.9%, Others 3.2%, Lib Dem 1.4% | - | 20.2% |
| Newlands / Auldburn | Labour 46.6%vs SNP 33.9% | 2022 SNP 33.1%Labour 32.8%, Conservative 11.3%, Independent 9.0%, Green 8.4%, Others 3.0%, Lib Dem 2.3% | - | - |
| Pollokshields | Labour 38.3%vs SNP 33.6% | 2022 SNP 30.6%Labour 23.4%, Green 22.1%, Conservative 12.5%, Others 8.4%, Lib Dem 3.0% | - | 47.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Glasgow South West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Glasgow South West at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Ian Davidson | 62.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 16.3% | 14,671 | 54.6% |
| 2015 | SNP gain from Lab Coop | Christopher Stephens | 32.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 57.2% | 9,950 | 61.8%+7.2 |
| 2017 | SNP hold | Chris Stephens | 40.5% | 15.6% | 1.9% | 40.7% | 60 | 56.2%-5.6 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Chris Stephens 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 33.8% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 46.7% | 5,533 | 61.1%+4.9 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Zubir Ahmed | 43.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 34.4% | 3,285 | 51.8%-9.3 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Glasgow South West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glasgow South West. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Social rent33.8 / 37.1vs 16.8
- ↑Graduate44.7 / 44.0vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied51.1 / 44.9vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent33.8 / 32.8vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied51.1 / 49.6vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+16.7 / 18.6vs 22.7
- ↑Graduate44.7 / 44.0vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent33.8 / 28.3vs 16.8
- ↓Leave40.9 / 43.1vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent33.8 / 26.4vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied51.1 / 55.3vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3535.4 / 35.6vs 30.2
- ↑Social rent33.8 / 31.4vs 16.8
- ↓Leave40.9 / 41.0vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied51.1 / 53.0vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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