Gordon and Buchan
Scotland · County constituency · Aberdeenshire
About the Gordon and Buchan constituency
Gordon and Buchan is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Harriet Cross (Conservative), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 32.9% to 30.9% for the SNP, a majority of 878 votes on a 63.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 35.2% and the SNP on 24.3%, a margin of 10.9 points.
Who lives in Gordon and Buchan? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Gordon and Buchan vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Gordon and Buchan
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Gordon and Buchan voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Gordon and Buchan crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Aberdeenshire East (56%), Aberdeenshire West (44%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Gordon and Buchan's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeenshire East | 56% | SNP 33.4% | Conservative 30.7% | Gillian Martin |
| Aberdeenshire West | 44% | Conservative 42.9% | SNP 27.3% | Alexander Burnett |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Gordon and Buchan within Aberdeenshire
Gordon and Buchan sits entirely within Aberdeenshire Council. Aberdeenshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Aberdeenshire | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | Central Buchan | Con GAIN from SNP | Con 41% SNP 28% LD 14% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aboyne, Upper Deeside and Donside | Conservative 42.5%vs SNP 27.3% | 2022 Conservative 34.5%Independent 22.7%, SNP 21.7%, Lib Dem 17.5%, Labour 3.7% | - | 53.4% |
| Central Buchan | Conservative 36.5%vs SNP 35.9% | 2022 Conservative 33.3%SNP 31.1%, Lib Dem 13.0%, Independent 11.3%, Labour 4.6%, Others 3.8%, Green 2.9% | - | 29.3% |
| East Garioch | SNP 40.4%vs Conservative 31.8% | 2022 SNP 41.0%Conservative 27.4%, Independent 14.5%, Lib Dem 9.4%, Labour 7.7% | - | 40.5% |
| Ellon and District | Conservative 39.6%vs SNP 35.5% | 2022 Conservative 35.6%SNP 31.7%, Lib Dem 22.0%, Labour 6.3%, Green 4.4% | - | 46.4% |
| Huntly, Strathbogie and Howe of Alford | Conservative 44.0%vs SNP 20.9% | 2022 Conservative 40.4%SNP 34.5%, Lib Dem 13.9%, Labour 7.8%, Independent 2.7%, Others 0.6% | - | 46.4% |
| Inverurie and District | SNP 31.7%vs Conservative 28.6% | 2022 SNP 31.1%Conservative 25.7%, Independent 22.5%, Lib Dem 17.0%, Green 3.8% | - | 41.0% |
| Mid Formartine | Conservative 32.0%vs SNP 31.5% | 2022 SNP 33.7%Conservative 33.3%, Independent 18.1%, Lib Dem 14.9% | - | 43.5% |
| Turriff and District | Conservative 32.5%vs SNP 28.7% | 2022 Conservative 39.1%SNP 33.9%, Lib Dem 23.5%, Green 3.5% | - | 43.3% |
| West Garioch | Conservative 34.5%vs SNP 34.3% | 2022 SNP 29.4%Conservative 27.1%, Independent 17.1%, Lib Dem 12.7%, Labour 7.7%, Green 4.3%, Others 1.7% | - | 45.9% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Gordon and Buchan at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Gordon and Buchan at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | LD hold | Malcolm Bruce Gordon MP | 20.1% | 18.7% | 36.0% | 22.2% | 6,748 | 66.4% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from LD | Alex Salmond Gordon MP | 5.9% | 11.7% | 32.7% | 47.7% | 8,687 | 73.3%+6.9 |
| 2017predecessor | Con gain from SNP | Colin Clark Gordon MP | 11.8% | 40.7% | 11.6% | 35.9% | 2,607 | 68.4%-4.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | David Duguid Banff and Buchan MP, pre-review boundary | 3.5% | 46.0% | 11.3% | 39.2% | 3,224 | 67.8% |
| 2024 | Con hold | Harriet Cross | 10.7% | 32.9% | 16.7% | 30.9% | 878 | 63.0%-4.8 |
Gordon and Buchan was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Gordon (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Gordon and Buchan
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Gordon and Buchan. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate45.6 / 44.2vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied76.3 / 72.0vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3523.7 / 23.9vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied76.3 / 72.5vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate45.6 / 42.9vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent9.0 / 13.9vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied76.3 / 75.2vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate45.6 / 43.1vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent9.0 / 12.9vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied76.3 / 75.2vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate45.6 / 43.5vs 33.7
- ↓Under 3523.7 / 24.5vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied76.3 / 75.7vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate45.6 / 43.5vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent9.0 / 12.5vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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