Halifax
Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Calderdale borough
About the Halifax constituency
Halifax is a borough constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Kate Dearden (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 35.1% to 19.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 6,269 votes on a 51.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 26.1% and Labour on 20.7%, a margin of 5.4 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Halifax? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Halifax vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Halifax
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Halifax within Calderdale
Halifax sits entirely within Calderdale Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Calderdale | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illingworth and Mixenden | Labour 37.9%vs Reform 22.8% | May 2026 Reform 60.6%vs Labour 20.8% | Labour→Reform +27.5pp | - |
| Northowram and Shelf | Conservative 25.6%vs Labour 23.0% | May 2026 Green 46.1%vs Reform 43.2% | Conservative→Green +23.8pp | - |
| Ovenden | Labour 35.1%vs Reform 22.5% | May 2026 Reform 59.2%vs Labour 23.2% | Labour→Reform +24.3pp | - |
| Park | Labour 43.4%vs Reform 15.3% | May 2026 Others 44.9%vs Labour 21.6% | Labour→Others +33.3pp | - |
| Ryburn | Labour 36.5%vs Conservative 30.4% | May 2026 Reform 35.0%vs Conservative 17.2% | Labour→Reform +21.1pp | - |
| Skircoat | Labour 39.8%vs Conservative 21.0% | May 2026 Reform 49.8%vs Labour 24.0%now part of Salterhebble Southowram Skircoat Green | Labour→Reform +24.1pp | - |
| Sowerby Bridge | Labour 36.5%vs Conservative 19.9% | May 2026 Reform 40.2%vs Labour 37.6% | Labour→Reform +10.4pp | - |
| Town | Labour 35.1%vs Reform 21.6% | May 2026 Reform 37.8%vs Labour 27.3%now part of Halifax Town | Labour→Reform +12.0pp | - |
| Warley | Labour 34.2%vs Reform 18.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 33.8%vs Reform 30.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +18.7pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Halifax at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Halifax at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Linda Riordan | 37.4% | 34.0% | 19.1% | 1,472 | 61.9% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Holly Lynch | 40.0% | 39.0% | 3.7% | 428 | 62.1%+0.2 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Holly Lynch | 52.8% | 41.7% | 2.2% | 5,376 | 67.8%+5.7 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Holly Lynch 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 45.6% | 41.7% | 4.8% | 1,902 | 64.1%-3.7 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Kate Dearden | 35.1% | 19.6% | 5.9% | 6,269 | 51.9%-12.2 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Halifax
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Halifax. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Graduate26.4 / 25.5vs 33.7
- ↑No quals22.3 / 22.5vs 18.0
- ↑Leave58.8 / 65.8vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate26.4 / 26.5vs 33.7
- ↑Leave58.8 / 58.1vs 53.2
- ↑No quals22.3 / 22.6vs 18.0
- ↑Leave58.8 / 60.9vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate26.4 / 28.8vs 33.7
- ↑No quals22.3 / 21.5vs 18.0
- ↓Graduate26.4 / 24.6vs 33.7
- ↑Leave58.8 / 66.6vs 53.2
- ↑No quals22.3 / 24.8vs 18.0
- ↓Graduate26.4 / 26.8vs 33.7
- ↑Leave58.8 / 59.9vs 53.2
- ↑No quals22.3 / 23.1vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.