Constituency profile

Hexham

North East · County constituency

Joe Morris MP
Sitting MP

Joe Morris

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
45.3% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -6.6pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +1.1pp
vs Conservative 33.2%
NorthernBrexit-marginal

About the Hexham constituency

Hexham is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Joe Morris (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.3% to 39.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 3,713 votes on a 67.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 34.3% and the Conservatives on 33.2%, a margin of 1.1 points.

Who lives in Hexham? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
45.3%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
39.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
69.8%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
29.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
50.6
UK median ~40
Age 65+
31.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
20.6%
UK average ~28%

How did Hexham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 3,713 votes (7.2pp) · turnout 67.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Hexham

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Hexham within Northumberland and Newcastle upon Tyne

Hexham crosses council boundaries: Northumberland (88%), Newcastle upon Tyne (12%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Northumberland
50 LSOAs
88%
Newcastle upon Tyne
7 LSOAs
12%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BellinghamConservative 43.9%vs Labour 39.7%2021 Conservative 59.6%vs Lib Dem 23.2%-46.1%
BywellLabour 58.5%vs Conservative 32.2%2021 Labour 46.5%vs Conservative 43.8%-57.6%
Callerton & ThrockleyLabour 62.3%vs Conservative 24.4%2024 Labour 50.8%vs Conservative 25.6%--
CorbridgeConservative 46.6%vs Labour 38.5%2021 Conservative 61.8%vs Labour 14.6%-49.1%
HaltwhistleLabour 50.6%vs Conservative 38.4%2021 Conservative 58.5%vs Labour 34.3%-37.9%
Haydon and HadrianLabour 40.9%vs Conservative 38.4%2021 Lib Dem 51.1%vs Conservative 29.8%-44.9%
Hexham Central with AcombLabour 55.6%vs Conservative 32.9%2021 Conservative 44.7%vs Labour 33.6%-48.3%
Hexham EastLabour 45.2%vs Conservative 38.6%2021 Conservative 43.8%vs Lib Dem 35.5%-44.4%
Hexham WestLabour 41.9%vs Conservative 36.0%2021 Independent 69.3%vs Conservative 17.2%-57.9%
HumshaughConservative 45.1%vs Labour 37.8%2021 Green 52.2%vs Conservative 42.3%-59.1%
LonghorsleyConservative 49.2%vs Labour 37.1%2021 Conservative 74.0%vs Labour 18.6%-45.0%
Ponteland East and StanningtonConservative 49.2%vs Labour 36.5%2021 Conservative 69.9%vs Lib Dem 15.3%-41.5%
Ponteland NorthConservative 46.5%vs Labour 38.4%2021 Conservative 73.9%vs Labour 14.9%-39.4%
Ponteland South with HeddonConservative 45.0%vs Labour 41.2%2021 Conservative 67.8%vs Labour 22.0%-43.2%
Ponteland WestConservative 47.1%vs Labour 37.9%2021 Conservative 73.9%vs Labour 18.5%-38.0%
Prudhoe NorthLabour 56.9%vs Conservative 32.0%2021 Labour 50.0%vs Conservative 46.1%-41.0%
Prudhoe SouthLabour 48.6%vs Conservative 35.5%2021 Conservative 59.7%vs Labour 36.4%-37.5%
South TynedaleConservative 45.6%vs Labour 42.3%2021 Conservative 57.4%vs Labour 23.5%-44.2%
Stocksfield and BroomhaughConservative 38.7%vs Labour 38.3%2021 Independent 75.4%vs Conservative 13.9%-54.9%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Hexham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Hexham at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdGuy Opperman19.0%43.2%29.9%--7.9%5,78872.0%
2015Con holdGuy Opperman24.9%52.7%6.8%9.9% UKIP5.6%-12,03172.6%+0.6
2017Con holdGuy Opperman34.1%54.1%7.1%2.0% UKIP2.7%-9,23675.7%+3.1
2019notionalConservative winnerGuy Opperman 2019 MP, pre-review boundary31.7%54.3%9.4%-3.6%1.0%12,18674.2%-1.5
2024Lab gain from ConJoe Morris46.3%39.1%4.6%-4.8%5.3%3,71367.8%-6.4

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Hexham

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hexham. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.