Hove and Portslade
South East · Borough constituency · Brighton and Hove borough
About the Hove and Portslade constituency
Hove and Portslade is a borough constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Peter Kyle (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 52.4% to 14.3% for the Greens, a majority of 19,791 votes on a 70.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 43.1% and the Greens on 18.4%, a margin of 24.7 points.
Who lives in Hove and Portslade? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Hove and Portslade vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Hove and Portslade
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Hove and Portslade within Brighton and Hove
Hove and Portslade sits entirely within Brighton and Hove Council. Brighton and Hove was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Brighton and Hove | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | Goldsmid | Grn GAIN from Lab | Grn 49% Lab 33% Ref 7% |
| 1 May 2025 | Westbourne and Poets' Corner | Lab HOLD | Lab 32% Grn 25% LD 22% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Brunswick & Adelaide | Grn GAIN from Lab | — |
| 20 Jan 2024 | South Portslade | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick & Adelaide | Labour 48.9%vs Green 20.9% | 2023 Labour 39.5%vs Green 35.0% | - | 45.0% |
| Central Hove | Labour 51.6%vs Green 17.0% | 2023 Labour 54.4%vs Green 26.4% | - | 51.9% |
| Goldsmid | Labour 51.4%vs Green 17.8% | 2023 Labour 52.0%vs Green 26.8% | - | 44.0% |
| Hangleton & Knoll | Labour 52.4%vs Conservative 18.2% | 2023 Labour 54.4%vs Conservative 37.5% | - | 46.7% |
| North Portslade | Labour 52.3%vs Conservative 13.5% | 2023 Labour 43.0%vs Independent 32.7% | - | - |
| South Portslade | Labour 55.9%vs Conservative 12.3% | 2023 Labour 67.0%vs Conservative 13.1% | - | - |
| Westbourne & Poets' Corner | Labour 59.4%vs Green 14.5% | 2023 Labour 55.8%vs Green 21.9% | - | - |
| Westdene & Hove Park | Labour 43.5%vs Green 18.2% | 2023 Conservative 42.7%vs Labour 38.5% | - | - |
| Wish | Labour 52.7%vs Conservative 16.0% | 2023 Labour 65.0%vs Conservative 11.5% | - | 56.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Hove and Portslade at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Hove and Portslade at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con gain from Lab | Mike Weatherley Hove MP | 33.0% | 36.7% | 22.6% | 1,868 | 69.5% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab gain from Con | Peter Kyle Hove MP | 42.3% | 39.9% | 3.6% | 1,236 | 71.0%+1.5 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Peter Kyle Hove MP | 64.1% | 31.6% | 2.3% | 18,757 | 77.6%+6.6 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Peter Kyle Hove MP, pre-review boundary | 58.3% | 28.1% | 6.6% | 17,044 | 76.5% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Peter Kyle | 52.4% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 19,791 | 70.1%-6.4 |
Hove and Portslade was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Hove (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Hove and Portslade
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hove and Portslade. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 44.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave33.0 / 42.9vs 53.2
- ↓No quals12.7 / 12.7vs 18.0
- ↓Leave33.0 / 32.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 56.8vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied55.0 / 56.0vs 61.9
- ↓Leave33.0 / 25.9vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 47.7vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent33.1 / 35.8vs 20.2
- ↓Leave33.0 / 31.7vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 45.3vs 33.7
- ↓No quals12.7 / 9.8vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 46.1vs 33.7
- ↓Leave33.0 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↓No quals12.7 / 10.6vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.