Hove and Portslade
South East · Borough constituency · Brighton and Hove borough
About the Hove and Portslade constituency
Hove and Portslade is a borough constituency in the South East, covering most or all of Brighton and Hove. The sitting MP is Peter Kyle (Labour), first elected in May 2015.
At the 2024 general election, Labour won Hove and Portslade with 52.4% of the vote, ahead of the Greens on 14.3%, a majority of 19,791 votes. Turnout was 70.1%.
If a general election were held today, PollCheck's projection at the current seven-poll average has Labour on 37.7% and the Greens on 22.3% in Hove and Portslade, a margin of 15.4 points. The projection updates automatically as new polls are added.
Demographically, Hove and Portslade is a strongly Remain-voting area (an estimated 33.0% voted Leave in 2016). About 46.5% of residents hold a degree, 55.0% of homes are owner-occupied, and the seat has a median age of about 41 (2021 Census).
Across the last 5 general elections on record, the seat has been won by Labour 4 times, the Conservatives 1 time (earlier years may be on predecessor boundaries).
Who lives in Hove and Portslade? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Hove and Portslade vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Hove and Portslade
Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.
Hove and Portslade within Brighton and Hove
The Westminster constituency of Hove and Portslade sits entirely within Brighton and Hove Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - English councils rotate their election cycles and Brighton and Hove was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below show the most recent council ward results available.
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Brighton and Hove | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | Goldsmid | Grn GAIN from Lab | Grn 49% Lab 33% Ref 7% |
| 1 May 2025 | Westbourne and Poets' Corner | Lab HOLD | Lab 32% Grn 25% LD 22% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Brunswick & Adelaide | Grn GAIN from Lab | — |
| 20 Jan 2024 | South Portslade | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward. Where the council held a May 2026 election, those results are shown; otherwise we show the most recent available ward result (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024), or, where the seat was uncontested at the last election, the current sitting councillor from OpenCouncilData. The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Hove and Portslade at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Hove and Portslade at past general elections?
2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con gain from Lab | Mike Weatherley Hove MP | 33.0% | 36.7% | 22.6% | 1,868 | 69.5% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab gain from Con | Peter Kyle Hove MP | 42.3% | 39.9% | 3.6% | 1,236 | 71.0%+1.5 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Peter Kyle Hove MP | 64.1% | 31.6% | 2.3% | 18,757 | 77.6%+6.6 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Peter Kyle Hove MP, pre-review boundary | 58.3% | 28.1% | 6.6% | 17,044 | 76.5% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Peter Kyle | 52.4% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 19,791 | 70.1%-6.4 |
Hove and Portslade was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Hove (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Hove and Portslade
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hove and Portslade. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 44.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave33.0 / 42.9vs 53.2
- ↓No quals12.7 / 12.7vs 18.0
- ↓Leave33.0 / 32.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 56.8vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied55.0 / 56.0vs 61.9
- ↓Leave33.0 / 25.9vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 47.7vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent33.1 / 35.8vs 20.2
- ↓Leave33.0 / 31.7vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 45.3vs 33.7
- ↓No quals12.7 / 9.8vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate46.5 / 46.1vs 33.7
- ↓Leave33.0 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↓No quals12.7 / 10.6vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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