Ilford North
London · Borough constituency · Redbridge borough
About the Ilford North constituency
Ilford North is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Wes Streeting (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 33.4% to 32.2% for other parties, a majority of 528 votes on a 59.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has other parties on 26.9% and Labour on 25.3%, a margin of 1.6 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Ilford North? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Ilford North vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Ilford North
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Ilford North within Redbridge
Ilford North sits entirely within Redbridge Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Redbridge | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldborough | Labour 33.5%vs Others 31.6% | May 2026 Labour 39.9%vs Conservative 17.4% | Labour share +6.4pp | - |
| Barkingside | Labour 33.7%vs Others 31.8% | May 2026 Labour 35.2%vs Others 29.1% | Labour share +1.5pp | - |
| Clayhall | Labour 34.0%vs Others 31.4% | May 2026 Labour 33.6%vs Others 27.4% | Labour share -0.4pp | - |
| Cranbrook | Others 35.3%vs Labour 32.9% | May 2026 Others 40.1%vs Labour 28.5% | Others→Others +37.7pp | - |
| Fairlop | Labour 33.1%vs Others 30.5% | May 2026 Labour 32.5%vs Reform 26.7% | Labour share -0.6pp | - |
| Fullwell | Labour 33.2%vs Others 32.1% | May 2026 Labour 38.3%vs Reform 18.9% | Labour share +5.1pp | - |
| Hainault | Labour 33.8%vs Others 30.0% | May 2026 Labour 38.5%vs Reform 33.8% | Labour share +4.7pp | - |
| Valentines | Others 36.5%vs Labour 32.8% | May 2026 Others 38.5%vs Labour 34.4% | Others→Others +37.5pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Ilford North at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Ilford North at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Lee Scott | 34.2% | 45.7% | 12.7% | 5,404 | 65.0% |
| 2015 | Lab gain from Con | Wes Streeting | 43.9% | 42.7% | 2.3% | 589 | 65.0%+0.0 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Wes Streeting | 57.8% | 39.6% | 2.0% | 9,639 | 72.5%+7.5 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Wes Streeting 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 54.1% | 36.7% | 4.0% | 9,030 | 69.3%-3.2 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Wes Streeting | 33.4% | 20.5% | 2.3% | 528 | 59.6%-9.7 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Ilford North
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Ilford North. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate41.8 / 40.6vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent26.7 / 27.7vs 20.2
- ↓Social rent11.0 / 10.4vs 16.8
- ↑Graduate41.8 / 45.2vs 33.7
- ↓Age 65+16.2 / 15.4vs 22.7
- ↓Social rent11.0 / 11.7vs 16.8
- ↓Age 65+16.2 / 12.7vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent26.7 / 31.5vs 20.2
- ↑Under 3534.4 / 35.3vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+16.2 / 15.7vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent26.7 / 24.3vs 20.2
- ↑Under 3534.4 / 37.7vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+16.2 / 15.0vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent26.7 / 33.1vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate41.8 / 38.6vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.