Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley
West Midlands · Borough constituency · Birmingham borough
About the Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley constituency
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley is a borough constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Tahir Ali (Labour), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, other parties won with 33.7% to 30.8% for Labour, a majority of 5,656 votes on a 54.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has other parties on 32.5% and the Greens on 19.7%, a margin of 12.8 points.
Who lives in Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley within Birmingham
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley sits entirely within Birmingham Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandwood & King's Heath | Others 48.4%vs Labour 24.6% | May 2026 Green 41.7%vs Labour 26.0% | Others→Green +41.7pp | - |
| Hall Green North | Labour 32.0%vs Others 31.8% | May 2026 Green 43.3%vs Conservative 15.0% | Labour→Green +26.9pp | - |
| Hall Green South | Labour 31.9%vs Others 26.9% | May 2026 Conservative 56.6%vs Green 17.1% | Labour→Conservative +33.0pp | - |
| Moseley | Labour 33.0%vs Others 26.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 45.4%vs Green 27.1% | Labour→Lib Dem +25.0pp | - |
| Sparkbrook & Balsall Heath East | Others 35.1%vs Labour 31.8% | May 2026 Others 46.2%vs Green 21.9% | Others→Others +40.6pp | - |
| Sparkhill | Others 33.4%vs Labour 31.2% | May 2026 Labour 39.3%vs Green 25.1% | Others→Labour +20.7pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Roger Godsiff Birmingham, Hall Green MP | 32.9% | 15.0% | 24.6% | 3,799 | 63.6% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Roger Godsiff Birmingham, Hall Green MP | 59.8% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 19,818 | 61.6%-2.0 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Roger Godsiff Birmingham, Hall Green MP | 77.6% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 33,944 | 69.4%+7.8 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Tahir Ali Birmingham, Hall Green MP, pre-review boundary | 66.3% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 26,507 | 68.3% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Tahir Ali | 30.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 5,656 | 54.1%-14.2 |
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Birmingham, Hall Green (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Employed48.2 / 46.9vs 57.3
- ↓Age 65+15.7 / 13.6vs 22.7
- ↑Under 3537.7 / 41.8vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+15.7 / 16.2vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent24.3 / 26.7vs 20.2
- ↑Under 3537.7 / 34.4vs 30.2
- ↓Leave46.9 / 47.5vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent24.3 / 27.7vs 20.2
- ↑No quals25.0 / 20.9vs 18.0
- ↓Employed48.2 / 47.5vs 57.3
- ↑Under 3537.7 / 38.7vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+15.7 / 14.2vs 22.7
- ↓Age 65+15.7 / 15.0vs 22.7
- ↓Leave46.9 / 39.1vs 53.2
- ↑No quals25.0 / 21.9vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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