Ipswich
East of England · Borough constituency · Ipswich borough
About the Ipswich constituency
Ipswich is a borough constituency in the East of England. The sitting MP is Jack Abbott (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 43.3% to 26.5% for the Conservatives, a majority of 7,403 votes on a 58.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 33.6% and Reform UK on 31.6%, a margin of 2.0 points.
Who lives in Ipswich? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Ipswich vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Ipswich
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Ipswich within Ipswich
Ipswich sits entirely within Ipswich Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. In addition, the Suffolk County Council election was held on Thursday 7 May 2026; the county-division results covering this seat are shown below. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 100% | View projection › |
Suffolk County Council election, Thursday 7 May 2026
The county council is a separate tier of local government from the district council and from Westminster. These are the results for the county divisions covering this seat; vote shares are computed from the declared per-candidate ballots.
| Division | Winner | Top 3 vote shares | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belstead Hills | Ref | Ref 40% Con 25% Lab 19% | — |
| Bixley | Ref | Ref 31% Con 25% Lab 22% | — |
| Bridge | Ref | Ref 30% Lab 30% Grn 21% | — |
| Gainsborough | Ref | Ref 34% Lab 24% Con 23% | — |
| Gipping | Ref | Ref 37% Lab 29% Grn 17% | — |
| Priory Heath | Ref | Ref 35% Lab 28% Grn 18% | — |
| Rushmere | Lab | Lab 33% Ref 26% Grn 19% | — |
| St Clements | Lab | Lab 33% Grn 30% Ref 24% | — |
| St Margarets | LD | LD 38% Ref 18% Grn 16% | — |
| Westgate | Lab | Lab 29% Ref 25% Grn 22% | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra | Labour 45.9%vs Conservative 21.1% | May 2026 Green 34.4%vs Labour 33.1% | Labour→Green +18.2pp | 40.3% |
| Bixley | Conservative 35.4%vs Labour 34.8% | May 2026 Reform 31.1%vs Conservative 29.9% | Conservative→Reform +10.2pp | 52.8% |
| Bridge | Labour 45.7%vs Conservative 24.2% | May 2026 Reform 33.5%vs Labour 29.5% | Labour→Reform +16.5pp | 36.2% |
| Gainsborough | Labour 46.2%vs Conservative 27.4% | May 2026 Reform 42.2%vs Labour 23.5% | Labour→Reform +24.8pp | 36.5% |
| Gipping | Labour 45.9%vs Conservative 23.0% | May 2026 Reform 33.9%vs Labour 31.1% | Labour→Reform +15.7pp | 34.6% |
| Holywells | Labour 43.1%vs Conservative 27.9% | May 2026 Labour 36.9%vs Reform 25.2% | Labour share -6.2pp | 46.9% |
| Priory Heath | Labour 46.3%vs Conservative 24.4% | May 2026 Reform 34.5%vs Labour 29.9% | Labour→Reform +16.7pp | 37.5% |
| Rushmere | Labour 45.1%vs Conservative 27.5% | May 2026 Labour 33.9%vs Reform 26.0% | Labour share -11.2pp | 48.8% |
| Sprites | Labour 42.7%vs Conservative 30.2% | May 2026 Reform 45.5%vs Labour 21.6% | Labour→Reform +26.6pp | 38.9% |
| St John's | Labour 46.2%vs Conservative 25.5% | May 2026 Labour 31.6%vs Reform 27.9% | Labour share -14.5pp | 44.8% |
| St Margaret's | Labour 34.2%vs Conservative 25.1% | May 2026 Lib Dem 49.2%vs Reform 16.4% | Labour→Lib Dem +27.7pp | 52.2% |
| Stoke Park | Labour 41.1%vs Conservative 32.3% | May 2026 Reform 41.4%vs Conservative 21.8% | Labour→Reform +22.9pp | 40.0% |
| Westgate | Labour 46.9%vs Conservative 21.9% | May 2026 Labour 36.2%vs Green 23.4% | Labour share -10.7pp | 35.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Ipswich at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Ipswich at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from Lab | Benedict Gummer | 34.7% | 39.1% | 18.2% | 2,079 | 62.0% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Benedict Gummer | 37.1% | 44.8% | 2.9% | 3,733 | 65.4%+3.4 |
| 2017 | Lab gain from Con | Sandy Martin | 47.4% | 45.7% | 2.3% | 831 | 67.6%+2.2 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Tom Hunt 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 39.3% | 50.3% | 4.9% | 5,479 | 66.0%-1.6 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Jack Abbott | 43.3% | 26.5% | 5.1% | 7,403 | 58.5%-7.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Ipswich
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Ipswich. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied53.4 / 50.8vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent25.1 / 25.3vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 29.2vs 33.7
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 26.9vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent25.1 / 22.5vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 26.6vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent25.1 / 23.6vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied53.4 / 59.1vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied53.4 / 57.5vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 30.8vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied53.4 / 52.0vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 27.7vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent25.1 / 27.1vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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