Kettering
East Midlands · County constituency · North Northamptonshire
About the Kettering constituency
Kettering is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Rosie Wrighting (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 35.9% to 28.2% for the Conservatives, a majority of 3,820 votes on a 63.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 27.8% and Reform UK on 23.6%, a margin of 4.2 points.
Who lives in Kettering? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Kettering vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Kettering
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Kettering within North Northamptonshire
Kettering sits entirely within North Northamptonshire Council. North Northamptonshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| North Northamptonshire | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton and Broughton | Labour 35.5%vs Conservative 30.4% | 2025 Reform 36.1%vs Green 28.4%2025 ward: Barton Seagrave & Burton Latimer, covering 71% of this ward | - | 33.4% |
| Clover Hill | Labour 29.3%vs Conservative 24.1% | 2025 Green 58.4%vs Reform 22.4%2025 ward: Kettering North, covering 86% of this ward | - | 38.1% |
| Corby Rural | Labour 41.6%vs Conservative 32.0% | 2025 Reform 37.0%vs Conservative 31.7%2025 ward: Gretton & Weldon, covering 56% of this ward | - | 29.4% |
| Desborough | Labour 40.4%vs Conservative 29.2% | 2025 Conservative 37.2%vs Reform 33.1%2025 ward: Desborough, covering 100% of this ward | - | 38.7% |
| Ise | Labour 37.2%vs Conservative 33.1% | 2025 Green 46.6%vs Reform 27.1%2025 ward: Ise, covering 75% of this ward | - | 39.3% |
| Northall | Labour 37.8%vs Conservative 23.3% | 2025 Green 45.8%vs Reform 24.1%2025 ward: Kettering Central, covering 62% of this ward | - | 27.0% |
| Rothwell and Mawsley | Labour 32.0%vs Conservative 31.3% | 2025 Reform 30.8%vs Conservative 24.5%2025 ward: Rothwell & Mawsley, covering 100% of this ward | - | 38.6% |
| Wicksteed | Labour 32.5%vs Conservative 28.9% | 2025 Green 29.8%vs Reform 26.3%2025 ward: St Michael, covering 57% of this ward | - | 35.1% |
| Windmill | Labour 38.2%vs Conservative 25.0% | 2025 Reform 39.3%vs Green 23.2%2025 ward: Avondale Grange, covering 57% of this ward | - | 24.2% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Kettering at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Kettering at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Philip Hollobone | 29.9% | 49.1% | 15.8% | 9,094 | 68.8% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Philip Hollobone | 25.2% | 51.8% | 3.2% | 12,590 | 67.3%-1.5 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Philip Hollobone | 36.5% | 57.9% | 3.3% | 10,562 | 69.2%+1.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Philip Hollobone 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 26.9% | 60.3% | 6.7% | 17,363 | 68.3%-0.9 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Rosie Wrighting | 35.9% | 28.2% | 2.7% | 3,820 | 63.3%-5.0 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Kettering
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Kettering. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave61.0 / 60.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate28.4 / 29.4vs 33.7
- ↑Employed61.8 / 59.8vs 57.3
- ↑Leave61.0 / 59.9vs 53.2
- ↑Employed61.8 / 61.4vs 57.3
- ↓Graduate28.4 / 29.6vs 33.7
- ↑Leave61.0 / 63.7vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate28.4 / 26.5vs 33.7
- ↑Employed61.8 / 61.7vs 57.3
- ↑Leave61.0 / 59.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate28.4 / 29.7vs 33.7
- ↑Leave61.0 / 60.1vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate28.4 / 26.8vs 33.7
- ↑Employed61.8 / 62.8vs 57.3
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.