Lewisham East
London · Borough constituency · Lewisham borough
About the Lewisham East constituency
Lewisham East is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Janet Daby (Labour), first elected in June 2018. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 58.2% to 13.7% for the Greens, a majority of 18,073 votes on a 55.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 49.2% and the Greens on 20.4%, a margin of 28.9 points.
Who lives in Lewisham East? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Lewisham East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Lewisham East
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Lewisham East within Lewisham
Lewisham East sits entirely within Lewisham Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Lewisham | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellingham | Labour 55.0%vs Green 19.1% | May 2026 Labour 37.3%vs Green 31.4% | Labour share -17.7pp | 30.6% |
| Catford South | Labour 60.3%vs Conservative 11.3% | May 2026 Labour 31.9%vs Green 30.1% | Labour share -28.4pp | 39.8% |
| Downham | Labour 57.5%vs Conservative 12.2% | May 2026 Labour 34.0%vs Green 26.1% | Labour share -23.6pp | 31.4% |
| Grove Park | Labour 55.3%vs Conservative 14.1% | May 2026 Labour 35.1%vs Green 30.4% | Labour share -20.2pp | 38.7% |
| Hither Green | Labour 59.6%vs Green 14.1% | May 2026 Labour 39.3%vs Green 37.5% | Labour share -20.3pp | 39.7% |
| Lee Green | Labour 57.2%vs Green 14.2% | May 2026 Labour 35.9%vs Green 32.8% | Labour share -21.3pp | 47.8% |
| Rushey Green | Labour 60.1%vs Green 14.8% | May 2026 Green 51.0%vs Labour 35.0% | Labour→Green +30.6pp | 41.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Lewisham East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Lewisham East at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Heidi Alexander | 43.1% | 23.6% | 28.2% | 6,216 | 63.3% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Heidi Alexander | 55.7% | 22.3% | 5.7% | 14,333 | 64.1%+0.8 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Heidi Alexander | 67.9% | 23.0% | 4.4% | 21,213 | 69.3%+5.2 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Janet Daby 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 62.7% | 20.0% | 10.1% | 19,979 | 65.3%-4.0 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Janet Daby | 58.2% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 18,073 | 55.4%-9.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Lewisham East
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Lewisham East. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave35.4 / 30.9vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 49.0vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+13.4 / 13.6vs 22.7
- ↓Leave35.4 / 33.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 45.2vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+13.4 / 10.0vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 41.4vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent27.7 / 31.4vs 16.8
- ↓Age 65+13.4 / 13.1vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 50.0vs 61.9
- ↓Leave35.4 / 44.2vs 53.2
- ↓Age 65+13.4 / 17.2vs 22.7
- ↓Leave35.4 / 28.4vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 50.2vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+13.4 / 12.6vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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