North Northumberland
North East · County constituency · Northumberland
About the North Northumberland constituency
North Northumberland is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is David Smith (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 36.6% to 26.2% for the Conservatives, a majority of 5,067 votes on a 65.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 34.9% and Reform UK on 23.3%, a margin of 11.6 points.
Who lives in North Northumberland? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did North Northumberland vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of North Northumberland
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
North Northumberland within Northumberland
North Northumberland sits entirely within Northumberland Council. Northumberland was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Northumberland | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | Amble | Lab GAIN from Ref | Lab 39% Ref 34% Con 21% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alnwick | Labour 36.0%vs Conservative 28.9% | 2025 Green 56.4%vs Reform 20.3%2025 ward: Alnwick Hotspur, covering 50% of this ward | - | 38.0% |
| Amble | Labour 44.2%vs Conservative 20.9% | 2025 Reform 44.4%vs Labour 38.4% | - | 31.0% |
| Amble West with Warkworth | Labour 31.3%vs Conservative 28.4% | 2025 Reform 23.8%vs Green 21.0% | - | 45.0% |
| Bamburgh | Labour 33.2%vs Conservative 30.5% | 2025 Conservative 56.1%vs Reform 25.6% | - | 49.0% |
| Berwick East | Labour 42.1%vs Conservative 17.9% | 2025 Independent 77.3%vs Reform 16.5% | - | 34.0% |
| Berwick North | Labour 34.8%vs Conservative 22.4% | 2025 Reform 27.7%vs Conservative 27.4% | - | 37.0% |
| Berwick West with Ord | Labour 35.2%vs Conservative 22.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 47.1%vs Reform 33.2% | - | 33.0% |
| Druridge Bay | Labour 47.7%vs Conservative 19.2% | 2025 Labour 50.0%vs Reform 37.5%2025 ward: Druridge Bay, covering 75% of this ward | - | 37.0% |
| Longhoughton | Conservative 29.9%vs Labour 26.4% | 2025 Conservative 43.0%vs Reform 21.1%2025 ward: Longhoughton, covering 100% of this ward | - | 44.0% |
| Lynemouth | Labour 46.7%vs Conservative 19.9% | 2025 Labour 47.4%vs Reform 41.5% | - | 36.0% |
| Morpeth Kirkhill | Labour 34.9%vs Conservative 27.6% | 2025 Conservative 45.5%vs Lib Dem 19.0% | - | 45.0% |
| Morpeth North | Labour 38.8%vs Conservative 26.1% | 2025 Conservative 40.4%vs Labour 18.2% | - | 50.0% |
| Morpeth Stobhill | Labour 35.1%vs Conservative 26.1% | 2025 Conservative 34.1%vs Lib Dem 27.4% | - | 25.0% |
| Norham and Islandshires | Labour 28.8%vs Conservative 26.9% | 2025 Reform 31.6%vs Conservative 29.3% | - | 45.0% |
| Pegswood | Labour 46.0%vs Conservative 25.7% | 2025 Labour 41.5%vs Reform 32.6%2025 ward: Pegswood, covering 67% of this ward | - | 37.0% |
| Rothbury | Labour 28.3%vs Conservative 22.1% | 2025 Independent 48.5%vs Lib Dem 18.7% | - | 60.0% |
| Shilbottle | Labour 34.3%vs Conservative 33.4% | 2025 Conservative 35.0%vs Reform 28.4%2025 ward: Shilbottle, covering 67% of this ward | - | 43.0% |
| Wooler | Conservative 36.5%vs Labour 28.0% | 2025 Conservative 64.1%vs Reform 21.0% | - | 48.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for North Northumberland at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won North Northumberland at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | LD hold | Alan Beith Berwick-upon-Tweed MP | 13.2% | 36.7% | 43.7% | 2,690 | 67.9% |
| 2015predecessor | Con gain from LD | Anne-Marie Trevelyan Berwick-upon-Tweed MP | 14.9% | 41.1% | 28.9% | 4,914 | 71.0%+3.1 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Anne-Marie Trevelyan Berwick-upon-Tweed MP | 24.6% | 52.5% | 21.1% | 11,781 | 71.8%+0.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Anne-Marie Trevelyan Berwick-upon-Tweed MP, pre-review boundary | 23.1% | 55.9% | 16.1% | 17,306 | 72.7% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | David Smith | 36.6% | 26.2% | 10.6% | 5,067 | 65.8%-6.9 |
North Northumberland was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Berwick-upon-Tweed (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like North Northumberland
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to North Northumberland. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+33.4 / 32.7vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.2 / 21.4vs 30.2
- ↓Employed49.9 / 51.7vs 57.3
- ↑Age 65+33.4 / 33.7vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.2 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↓Employed49.9 / 53.6vs 57.3
- ↑Age 65+33.4 / 30.4vs 22.7
- ↓Employed49.9 / 51.3vs 57.3
- ↓Under 3520.2 / 24.4vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+33.4 / 34.5vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.2 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↓Employed49.9 / 51.2vs 57.3
- ↑Age 65+33.4 / 35.0vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.2 / 20.1vs 30.2
- ↓Employed49.9 / 50.2vs 57.3
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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