St Ives
South West · County constituency
About the St Ives constituency
St Ives is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Andrew George (Liberal Democrat), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 52.0% to 23.4% for the Conservatives, a majority of 13,786 votes on a 68.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 41.4% and Reform UK on 24.0%, a margin of 17.4 points.
Who lives in St Ives? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did St Ives vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of St Ives
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
St Ives within Cornwall
St Ives sits almost entirely within Cornwall Council. Cornwall was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Cornwall | 98% |
| Isles of Scilly | 2% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowan, Sithney & Wendron | Lib Dem 48.4%vs Conservative 23.9% | 2025 Others 46.9%vs Reform 31.6% | - | - |
| Helston North | Lib Dem 37.3%vs Conservative 27.2% | 2025 Independent 45.8%vs Reform 28.5% | - | - |
| Helston South & Meneage | Lib Dem 40.8%vs Conservative 28.8% | 2025 Lib Dem 38.3%vs Reform 29.8% | - | - |
| Land's End | Lib Dem 56.8%vs Conservative 19.2% | 2025 Independent 50.4%vs Reform 19.1% | - | - |
| Long Rock, Marazion & St Erth | Lib Dem 57.0%vs Conservative 22.3% | 2025 Lib Dem 44.4%vs Reform 29.0% | - | - |
| Ludgvan, Madron, Gulval & Heamoor | Lib Dem 63.8%vs Conservative 19.2% | 2025 Lib Dem 36.4%vs Independent 32.4% | - | - |
| Mousehole, Newlyn & St Buryan | Lib Dem 57.9%vs Conservative 22.4% | 2025 Lib Dem 51.8%vs Reform 24.0% | - | - |
| Mullion & St Keverne | Lib Dem 44.0%vs Conservative 29.7% | 2025 Lib Dem 40.1%vs Reform 25.1% | - | - |
| Penzance East | Lib Dem 43.6%vs Conservative 19.6% | 2025 Independent 42.9%vs Lib Dem 26.3% | - | - |
| Penzance Promenade | Lib Dem 44.1%vs Conservative 25.1% | 2025 Independent 44.7%vs Reform 19.1% | - | - |
| Porthleven, Breage & Germoe | Lib Dem 48.2%vs Conservative 26.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 28.8%vs Independent 26.8% | - | - |
| St Ives East, Lelant & Carbis Bay | Lib Dem 56.7%vs Conservative 25.6% | 2025 Lib Dem 40.0%vs Independent 25.8% | - | - |
| St Ives West & Towednack | Lib Dem 63.0%vs Conservative 17.6% | 2025 Independent 41.6%vs Lib Dem 32.9% | - | - |
| St Mary's | Lib Dem 48.6%vs Conservative 19.1% | 2021 Independent 100.0%uncontested | - | 41.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for St Ives at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won St Ives at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | Andrew George | 8.2% | 39.0% | 42.7% | 1,719 | 68.6% |
| 2015 | Con gain from LD | Derek Thomas | 9.3% | 38.3% | 33.2% | 2,469 | 73.7%+5.1 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Derek Thomas | 14.2% | 43.2% | 42.6% | 312 | 76.3%+2.6 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Derek Thomas 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 9.1% | 49.0% | 39.3% | 5,227 | 76.9%+0.6 |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Andrew George | 5.8% | 23.4% | 52.0% | 13,786 | 68.7%-8.2 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like St Ives
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to St Ives. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+32.7 / 33.7vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3521.4 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↓Employed51.7 / 53.6vs 57.3
- ↑Age 65+32.7 / 32.3vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3521.4 / 22.2vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+32.7 / 33.4vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3521.4 / 20.2vs 30.2
- ↓Employed51.7 / 49.9vs 57.3
- ↑Age 65+32.7 / 34.9vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3521.4 / 20.0vs 30.2
- ↓Employed51.7 / 53.1vs 57.3
- ↑Age 65+32.7 / 33.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3521.4 / 21.2vs 30.2
- ↓Employed51.7 / 54.5vs 57.3
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.