Constituency profile

South Shropshire

West Midlands · County constituency · Shropshire

Stuart Anderson MP
Sitting MP

Stuart Anderson

Conservative

MP since December 2019

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
West Midlands
County constituency, Shropshire council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
55.4% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +3.5pp above mean
Current outlook
Conservative +10.7pp
vs Reform UK 25.1%
MidlandsLeave-leaning

About the South Shropshire constituency

South Shropshire is a county constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Stuart Anderson (Conservative), MP since December 2019. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 34.1% to 31.0% for the Liberal Democrats, a majority of 1,624 votes on a 67.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 35.8% and Reform UK on 25.1%, a margin of 10.7 points.

Who lives in South Shropshire? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
55.4%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
33.1%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
69.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
29.6%
UK average ~36%
Median age
52.9
UK median ~40
Age 65+
34.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
20.0%
UK average ~28%

How did South Shropshire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 1,624 votes (3.1pp) · turnout 67.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of South Shropshire

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

South Shropshire within Shropshire

South Shropshire sits entirely within Shropshire Council. Shropshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Shropshire
58 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Alveley and ClaverleyConservative 38.6%vs Lib Dem 26.7%2025 Lib Dem 41.1%vs Reform 41.1%2025 ward: Bridgnorth South & Alveley, covering 67% of this ward--
Bishop's CastleLib Dem 45.4%vs Conservative 24.5%2025 Lib Dem 70.0%vs Reform 14.9%--
Bridgnorth East and Astley AbbottsConservative 34.0%vs Lib Dem 25.1%2025 Reform 43.1%vs Lib Dem 20.0%2025 ward: Bridgnorth East, covering 75% of this ward--
Bridgnorth West and TasleyConservative 36.5%vs Lib Dem 26.1%2025 Independent 32.2%vs Reform 32.1%2025 ward: Bridgnorth West & Tasley, covering 60% of this ward--
BroseleyConservative 30.5%vs Lib Dem 26.2%2025 Labour 43.9%vs Reform 34.1%--
Brown CleeConservative 39.1%vs Lib Dem 24.9%2025 Reform 38.5%vs Conservative 35.4%--
BurnellConservative 36.5%vs Lib Dem 32.6%2025 Lib Dem 49.0%vs Conservative 31.5%--
Chirbury and WorthenLib Dem 44.7%vs Conservative 25.1%2025 Lib Dem 71.0%vs Reform 18.4%2025 ward: Chirbury & Worthen, covering 100% of this ward--
Church Stretton and Craven ArmsConservative 34.7%vs Lib Dem 30.2%2025 Lib Dem 39.9%vs Conservative 28.7%2025 ward: Craven Arms, covering 60% of this ward--
CleeLib Dem 37.9%vs Conservative 30.1%2025 Reform 35.9%vs Lib Dem 32.7%--
Cleobury MortimerConservative 39.7%vs Lib Dem 26.0%2025 Reform 34.5%vs Lib Dem 32.8%2025 ward: Cleobury Mortimer, covering 50% of this ward--
ClunLib Dem 36.7%vs Conservative 31.9%2025 Lib Dem 53.6%vs Reform 21.1%--
CorvedaleConservative 41.8%vs Lib Dem 27.1%2025 Conservative 43.9%vs Reform 25.1%--
HighleyConservative 30.7%vs Lib Dem 29.2%2025 Reform 42.6%vs Lib Dem 32.9%--
Ludlow EastLib Dem 38.3%vs Conservative 26.1%2025 Lib Dem 42.5%vs Reform 31.2%--
Ludlow NorthLib Dem 42.5%vs Conservative 26.4%2025 Lib Dem 51.9%vs Reform 24.8%--
Ludlow SouthLib Dem 43.7%vs Conservative 24.9%2025 Lib Dem 59.9%vs Reform 27.6%--
Much WenlockConservative 38.3%vs Lib Dem 26.7%2025 Conservative 50.8%vs Lib Dem 23.4%--
Severn ValleyConservative 41.1%vs Lib Dem 21.6%2025 Conservative 34.2%vs Labour 26.6%--
WorfieldConservative 41.2%vs Lib Dem 22.7%2025 Reform 50.5%vs Conservative 28.1%2025 ward: Claverley & Worfield, covering 50% of this ward--

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for South Shropshire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won South Shropshire at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon holdPhilip Dunne Ludlow MP6.7%52.8%32.8%4.4% UKIP0.9%2.5%9,74973.1%
2015predecessorCon holdPhilip Dunne Ludlow MP12.3%54.3%13.5%14.9% UKIP5.1%-18,92972.4%-0.7
2017predecessorCon holdPhilip Dunne Ludlow MP24.3%62.9%10.7%-2.1%-19,28673.4%+1.0
2019notionalConservative winnerPhilip Dunne Ludlow MP, pre-review boundary15.8%65.4%15.4%-3.5%-28,63674.9%
2024Con holdStuart Anderson13.4%34.1%31.0%17.8% Ref3.7%-1,62467.4%-7.5

South Shropshire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Ludlow (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like South Shropshire

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to South Shropshire. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.

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