South Shropshire
West Midlands · County constituency · Shropshire borough
About the South Shropshire constituency
South Shropshire is a county constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Stuart Anderson (Conservative), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 34.1% to 31.0% for the Liberal Democrats, a majority of 1,624 votes on a 67.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 33.0% and the Conservatives on 29.4%, a margin of 3.6 points - a projected change of hands from the Conservatives.
Who lives in South Shropshire? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did South Shropshire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of South Shropshire
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
South Shropshire within Shropshire
South Shropshire sits entirely within Shropshire Council. Shropshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Shropshire | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2023 | Alveley and Claverley | LD GAIN from Con | — |
| 10 Sep 2023 | Worfield | LD GAIN from Con | — |
| 20 Oct 2022 | Bridgnorth West and Tasley | Lab GAIN from Con | — |
| 25 Jun 2022 | Highley | LD GAIN from Ind | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alveley and Claverley | Conservative 38.6%vs Lib Dem 26.7% | 2021 Conservative 69.3%vs Lib Dem 22.2% | - | 36.2% |
| Bishop's Castle | Lib Dem 45.4%vs Conservative 24.5% | 2021 Lib Dem 78.2%vs Conservative 14.2% | - | 48.1% |
| Bridgnorth East and Astley Abbotts | Conservative 34.0%vs Lib Dem 25.1% | 2021 Conservative 48.6%vs Labour 28.6% | - | 39.0% |
| Bridgnorth West and Tasley | Conservative 36.5%vs Lib Dem 26.1% | 2021 Labour 45.5%vs Conservative 37.3% | - | 36.4% |
| Broseley | Conservative 30.5%vs Lib Dem 26.2% | 2021 Labour 55.5%vs Conservative 39.2% | - | 42.0% |
| Brown Clee | Conservative 39.1%vs Lib Dem 24.9% | 2021 Conservative 57.4%vs Independent 23.1% | - | 40.8% |
| Burnell | Conservative 36.5%vs Lib Dem 32.6% | 2021 Conservative 66.0%vs Lib Dem 23.3% | - | 46.8% |
| Chirbury and Worthen | Lib Dem 44.7%vs Conservative 25.1% | 2021 Lib Dem 83.8%vs Conservative 16.2% | - | 54.2% |
| Church Stretton and Craven Arms | Conservative 34.7%vs Lib Dem 30.2% | 2021 Conservative 46.5%vs Lib Dem 34.7% | - | 39.9% |
| Clee | Lib Dem 37.9%vs Conservative 30.1% | 2021 Lib Dem 50.3%vs Conservative 43.1% | - | 42.1% |
| Cleobury Mortimer | Conservative 39.7%vs Lib Dem 26.0% | 2021 Conservative 63.4%vs Lib Dem 15.4% | - | 40.2% |
| Clun | Lib Dem 36.7%vs Conservative 31.9% | 2021 Lib Dem 55.1%vs Conservative 44.9% | - | 57.2% |
| Corvedale | Conservative 41.8%vs Lib Dem 27.1% | 2021 Conservative 66.3%vs Green 29.7% | - | 49.8% |
| Highley | Conservative 30.7%vs Lib Dem 29.2% | 2021 Independent 53.0%vs Conservative 33.6% | - | 30.3% |
| Ludlow East | Lib Dem 38.3%vs Conservative 26.1% | 2021 Lib Dem 50.7%vs Conservative 31.4% | - | 33.0% |
| Ludlow North | Lib Dem 42.5%vs Conservative 26.4% | 2021 Lib Dem 51.0%vs Conservative 26.5% | - | 43.8% |
| Ludlow South | Lib Dem 43.7%vs Conservative 24.9% | 2021 Lib Dem 65.4%vs Conservative 27.4% | - | 43.3% |
| Much Wenlock | Conservative 38.3%vs Lib Dem 26.7% | 2021 Conservative 60.6%vs Lib Dem 22.5% | - | 44.3% |
| Severn Valley | Conservative 41.1%vs Lib Dem 21.6% | 2021 Conservative 59.5%vs Labour 30.0% | - | 51.7% |
| Worfield | Conservative 41.2%vs Lib Dem 22.7% | 2021 Conservative 75.0%vs Lib Dem 14.6% | - | 33.8% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for South Shropshire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won South Shropshire at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Philip Dunne Ludlow MP | 6.7% | 52.8% | 32.8% | 9,749 | 73.1% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Philip Dunne Ludlow MP | 12.3% | 54.3% | 13.5% | 18,929 | 72.4%-0.7 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Philip Dunne Ludlow MP | 24.3% | 62.9% | 10.7% | 19,286 | 73.4%+1.0 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Philip Dunne Ludlow MP, pre-review boundary | 15.8% | 65.4% | 15.4% | 28,636 | 74.9% |
| 2024 | Con hold | Stuart Anderson | 13.4% | 34.1% | 31.0% | 1,624 | 67.4%-7.5 |
South Shropshire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Ludlow (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like South Shropshire
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to South Shropshire. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+34.9 / 33.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.0 / 21.2vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.5 / 69.4vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+34.9 / 34.5vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.0 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.5 / 69.2vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+34.9 / 32.9vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.0 / 20.8vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.5 / 70.0vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+34.9 / 35.0vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.0 / 20.1vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.5 / 69.3vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+34.9 / 33.7vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.0 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied69.5 / 66.8vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.