South East Cornwall
South West · County constituency · Cornwall
About the South East Cornwall constituency
South East Cornwall is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Anna Gelderd (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 31.8% to 27.9% for the Conservatives, a majority of 1,911 votes on a 67.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 33.0% and Reform UK on 29.9%, a margin of 3.1 points.
Who lives in South East Cornwall? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did South East Cornwall vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of South East Cornwall
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
South East Cornwall within Cornwall
South East Cornwall sits entirely within Cornwall Council. Cornwall was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Cornwall | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callington & St Dominic | Conservative 27.6%vs Labour 25.6% | 2025 Others 42.1%vs Reform 34.5% | - | - |
| Calstock | Labour 46.1%vs Conservative 21.5% | 2025 Reform 29.6%vs Labour 27.2% | - | - |
| Liskeard Central | Labour 35.5%vs Conservative 27.3% | 2025 Reform 36.7%vs Conservative 36.0% | - | - |
| Liskeard South & Dobwalls | Conservative 33.0%vs Labour 27.0% | 2025 Conservative 41.5%vs Reform 32.5% | - | - |
| Looe East & Deviock | Labour 29.3%vs Conservative 24.8% | 2025 Independent 57.6%vs Reform 25.5% | - | - |
| Looe West, Pelynt, Lansallos & Lanteglos | Lib Dem 25.3%vs Conservative 25.2% | 2025 Lib Dem 36.9%vs Reform 35.4% | - | - |
| Lostwithiel & Lanreath | Conservative 35.5%vs Labour 25.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 49.8%vs Reform 29.6% | - | - |
| Lynher | Conservative 30.7%vs Labour 24.1% | 2025 Reform 36.3%vs Lib Dem 32.1% | - | - |
| Rame Peninsula & St Germans | Labour 49.0%vs Conservative 23.7% | 2025 Labour 47.1%vs Reform 29.1% | - | - |
| Saltash Essa | Labour 26.8%vs Conservative 25.2% | 2025 Lib Dem 49.6%vs Reform 29.2% | - | - |
| Saltash Tamar | Labour 28.9%vs Conservative 27.4% | 2025 Reform 32.5%vs Lib Dem 30.0% | - | - |
| Saltash Trematon & Landrake | Conservative 33.7%vs Labour 23.0% | 2025 Reform 25.4%vs Lib Dem 24.9% | - | - |
| St Cleer & Menheniot | Labour 33.1%vs Conservative 27.8% | 2025 Reform 39.2%vs Lib Dem 34.4% | - | - |
| Torpoint | Conservative 30.4%vs Labour 30.1% | 2025 Reform 42.3%vs Conservative 30.7% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for South East Cornwall at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won South East Cornwall at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from LD | Sheryll Murray | 7.1% | 45.1% | 38.6% | 3,220 | 69.5% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Sheryll Murray | 9.3% | 50.5% | 16.9% | 16,995 | 71.1%+1.6 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Sheryll Murray | 22.6% | 55.4% | 19.4% | 17,443 | 74.0%+2.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Sheryll Murray 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 20.3% | 59.0% | 16.3% | 20,225 | 72.8%-1.2 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Anna Gelderd | 31.8% | 27.9% | 16.8% | 1,911 | 67.8%-5.0 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like South East Cornwall
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to South East Cornwall. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+32.9 / 34.5vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.8 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 69.2vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+32.9 / 34.9vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.8 / 20.0vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 69.5vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+32.9 / 31.5vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 70.5vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3520.8 / 22.9vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+32.9 / 32.1vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 71.0vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3520.8 / 22.6vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+32.9 / 33.5vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3520.8 / 21.1vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 70.2vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.