Thirsk and Malton
Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · North Yorkshire borough
About the Thirsk and Malton constituency
Thirsk and Malton is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Kevin Hollinrake (Conservative), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 39.2% to 24.1% for Labour, a majority of 7,550 votes on a 63.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 38.6% and Reform UK on 27.6%, a margin of 11.1 points.
Who lives in Thirsk and Malton? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Thirsk and Malton vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Thirsk and Malton
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Thirsk and Malton within North Yorkshire
Thirsk and Malton sits entirely within North Yorkshire Council. North Yorkshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| North Yorkshire | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiskew & Leeming | Conservative 35.8%vs Labour 28.7% | 2022 Conservative 52.2%vs Green 47.8% | - | - |
| Amotherby & Ampleforth | Conservative 37.6%vs Labour 24.6% | 2022 Lib Dem 50.9%vs Conservative 49.1% | - | - |
| Bedale | Conservative 43.5%vs Labour 19.2% | 2022 Conservative 63.4%vs Green 19.5% | - | 23.8% |
| Filey | Conservative 33.3%vs Labour 25.5% | 2022 Independent 43.3%vs Conservative 35.4% | - | 35.1% |
| Helmsley & Sinnington | Conservative 44.7%vs Labour 25.4% | 2022 Conservative 54.5%vs Independent 28.1% | - | - |
| Hillside & Raskelf | Conservative 42.3%vs Labour 23.9% | 2022 Conservative 48.7%vs Independent 22.0% | - | - |
| Hunmanby & Sherburn | Conservative 38.6%vs Labour 23.9% | 2022 Independent 46.4%vs Conservative 34.3% | - | - |
| Kirkbymoorside & Dales | Conservative 39.2%vs Labour 20.9% | 2022 Conservative 30.8%vs Independent 25.7% | - | - |
| Malton | Conservative 33.3%vs Labour 25.6% | 2022 Independent 52.1%vs Conservative 29.4% | - | 18.8% |
| Norton | Conservative 38.0%vs Labour 25.4% | 2022 Conservative 63.4%vs Lib Dem 36.6% | - | 29.6% |
| Pickering | Conservative 41.3%vs Labour 21.2% | 2022 Others 41.8%vs Conservative 37.0% | - | 27.9% |
| Sheriff Hutton & Derwent | Conservative 34.6%vs Labour 29.9% | 2022 Independent 35.6%vs Conservative 35.2% | - | - |
| Sowerby & Topcliffe | Conservative 39.6%vs Labour 26.6% | 2022 Green 51.9%vs Conservative 48.1% | - | - |
| Thirsk | Conservative 42.5%vs Labour 22.6% | 2022 Conservative 65.0%vs Labour 25.4% | - | 26.4% |
| Thornton Dale & Wolds | Conservative 44.8%vs Labour 19.4% | 2022 Conservative 52.7%vs Others 20.8% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Thirsk and Malton at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Thirsk and Malton at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Anne McIntosh | 13.6% | 52.9% | 23.3% | 11,281 | 49.9% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Kevin Hollinrake | 15.4% | 52.6% | 9.0% | 19,456 | 67.6%+17.7 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Kevin Hollinrake | 26.1% | 60.0% | 6.9% | 19,001 | 71.1%+3.5 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Kevin Hollinrake 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 17.8% | 62.5% | 12.5% | 23,337 | 68.1%-3.0 |
| 2024 | Con hold | Kevin Hollinrake | 24.1% | 39.2% | 10.8% | 7,550 | 63.5%-4.6 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Thirsk and Malton
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Thirsk and Malton. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+32.3 / 33.7vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied66.6 / 66.8vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+32.3 / 32.7vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 21.4vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied66.6 / 65.2vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+32.3 / 30.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 23.6vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied66.6 / 67.3vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+32.3 / 33.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 21.2vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied66.6 / 69.4vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+32.3 / 31.1vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 23.9vs 30.2
- ↓Social rent12.7 / 12.7vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.