Constituency profile

Penistone and Stocksbridge

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency

Dr Marie Tidball MP
Sitting MP

Dr Marie Tidball

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLCL
Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5
EU referendum 2016
60.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +8.7pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +0.2pp
vs Reform UK 30.2%
NorthernStrong Leave area

About the Penistone and Stocksbridge constituency

Penistone and Stocksbridge is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Dr Marie Tidball (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 43.6% to 23.7% for the Conservatives, a majority of 8,739 votes on a 62.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 30.4% and Reform UK on 30.2%, a margin of 0.2 points.

Who lives in Penistone and Stocksbridge? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
60.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
30.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
18.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
75.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
24.2%
UK average ~36%
Median age
47.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
28.8%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
23.0%
UK average ~28%

How did Penistone and Stocksbridge vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 8,739 votes (19.9pp) · turnout 62.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Penistone and Stocksbridge

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Penistone and Stocksbridge within Sheffield and Barnsley

Penistone and Stocksbridge crosses council boundaries: Sheffield (63%), Barnsley (37%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Sheffield
37 LSOAs
63%View projection ›
Barnsley
22 LSOAs
37%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
DodworthLabour 40.9%vs Reform 23.2%May 2026 Reform 39.3%vs Lib Dem 33.8%now part of Dodworth Stainborough Tankersley
Labour→Reform
+20.8pp
45.4%
East EcclesfieldLabour 46.7%vs Reform 21.4%May 2026 Reform 38.7%vs Lib Dem 30.3%
Labour→Reform
+22.2pp
44.2%
Penistone EastLabour 39.3%vs Conservative 31.7%May 2026 Labour 37.8%vs Reform 34.1%
Labour share
-1.5pp
56.3%
Penistone WestLabour 40.1%vs Conservative 24.0%May 2026 Lib Dem 33.8%vs Reform 30.4%
Labour→Lib Dem
+25.1pp
48.7%
Stocksbridge and Upper DonLabour 46.1%vs Conservative 24.6%May 2026 Reform 37.3%vs Lib Dem 32.3%
Labour→Reform
+24.2pp
45.5%
West EcclesfieldLabour 45.3%vs Reform 22.8%May 2026 Lib Dem 38.9%vs Reform 38.6%
Labour→Lib Dem
+33.0pp
44.0%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Penistone and Stocksbridge at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Penistone and Stocksbridge at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdAngela Smith37.8%31.2%21.1%4.2% UKIP-5.8%3,04967.9%
2015Lab holdAngela Smith42.0%27.7%6.3%22.9% UKIP-1.1%6,72366.2%-1.7
2017Lab holdAngela Smith45.8%43.2%4.1%6.9% UKIP--1,32269.8%+3.6
2019notionalConservative winnerMiriam Cates 2019 MP, pre-review boundary33.3%47.8%10.2%--8.7%7,21069.4%-0.4
2024Lab gain from ConMarie Tidball43.6%23.7%6.5%21.5% Ref4.6%-8,73962.4%-7.0

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Penistone and Stocksbridge

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Penistone and Stocksbridge. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.