Constituency profile

Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge

West Midlands · County constituency

Sir Gavin Williamson MP
Sitting MP

Sir Gavin Williamson

Conservative

First elected May 2010

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
West Midlands
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
60.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +8.2pp above mean
Current outlook
Conservative +14.0pp
vs Labour 22.4%
MidlandsStrong Leave area

About the Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge constituency

Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge is a county constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Sir Gavin Williamson (Conservative), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 46.5% to 33.7% for Labour, a majority of 5,466 votes on a 59.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 36.4% and Labour on 22.4%, a margin of 14.0 points.

Who lives in Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
60.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
30.7%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
18.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
74.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
24.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
47.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
28.0%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
25.0%
UK average ~28%

How did Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 5,466 votes (12.8pp) · turnout 59.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge within South Staffordshire and Stafford

Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge crosses council boundaries: South Staffordshire (65%), Stafford (35%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
South Staffordshire
35 LSOAs
65%
Stafford
19 LSOAs
35%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
26 Jun 2025Great Wyrley Landywood
South Staffordshire
Con HOLDCon 49% Ref 40% Lab 7%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Brewood, Coven & BlymhillConservative 51.9%vs Labour 32.6%2023 Conservative 59.1%vs Labour 25.1%-37.0%
Cheslyn Hay VillageConservative 47.6%vs Labour 35.2%2023 Conservative 40.8%vs Labour 31.8%-30.7%
EssingtonConservative 41.1%vs Labour 38.7%2023 Independent 83.6%vs Conservative 16.4%-21.9%
Featherstone, Sharehill & SaredonConservative 37.7%vs Labour 37.2%2023 Independent 42.4%vs Labour 26.2%-43.2%
Great Wyrley LandywoodConservative 50.2%vs Labour 34.0%2023 Conservative 46.6%vs Labour 40.0%-23.8%
Great Wyrley TownConservative 52.8%vs Labour 32.0%2023 Conservative 61.5%vs Labour 38.5%-26.6%
Haywood & HixonConservative 45.8%vs Labour 30.9%2023 Others 36.2%vs Conservative 28.6%-55.1%
Huntington & HathertonConservative 43.3%vs Labour 39.2%2023 Labour 49.7%vs Conservative 27.7%-19.8%
Lapley, Stretton & Wheaton AstonConservative 51.2%vs Labour 32.9%2023 Independent 62.0%vs Conservative 31.9%-36.1%
MilfordConservative 49.3%vs Labour 33.5%2023 Conservative 48.6%vs Labour 37.6%-38.1%
MilwichConservative 52.0%vs Labour 28.0%2023 Conservative 46.7%vs Others 24.3%-36.7%
Penkridge North & Acton TrussellConservative 48.5%vs Labour 31.1%2023 Lib Dem 55.6%vs Conservative 44.4%-38.0%
Penkridge South & GaileyConservative 49.7%vs Labour 34.2%2023 Conservative 50.6%vs Labour 37.5%-30.0%
St Michael's & StonefieldConservative 40.8%vs Labour 33.1%2023 Others 58.0%vs Conservative 29.0%-38.7%
WaltonConservative 38.0%vs Labour 35.1%2023 Others 64.3%vs Labour 19.1%-26.0%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon gain from LabJeremy Lefroy Stafford MP33.0%43.9%16.3%3.4% UKIP1.1%2.2%5,46071.1%
2015predecessorCon holdJeremy Lefroy Stafford MP29.6%48.4%2.8%12.9% UKIP2.9%3.5%9,17771.0%-0.1
2017predecessorCon holdJeremy Lefroy Stafford MP39.9%54.7%3.0%-2.4%-7,72975.9%+4.9
2019notionalConservative winnerTheo Clarke Stafford MP, pre-review boundary21.6%68.5%6.5%-3.4%-21,92266.1%
2024Con holdGavin Williamson33.7%46.5%6.9%-5.2%7.7%5,46659.8%-6.3

Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Stafford (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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