Runnymede and Weybridge
South East · County constituency
About the Runnymede and Weybridge constituency
Runnymede and Weybridge is a county constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Dr Ben Spencer (Conservative), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 38.2% to 22.4% for the Liberal Democrats, a majority of 7,627 votes on a 65.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 32.0% and Reform UK on 24.7%, a margin of 7.2 points.
Who lives in Runnymede and Weybridge? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Runnymede and Weybridge vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Runnymede and Weybridge
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Runnymede and Weybridge within Runnymede and Elmbridge
Runnymede and Weybridge crosses council boundaries: Runnymede (66%), Elmbridge (34%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Runnymede | 66% |
| Elmbridge | 34% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2025 | Addlestone South | Ref GAIN from Con | Ref 34% LD 27% Con 23% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | Ottershaw | Ind HOLD | — |
| 18 Oct 2024 | Addlestone South | Con HOLD | — |
| 18 Oct 2024 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Con HOLD | — |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Cobham and Downside | Con GAIN from LD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addlestone North | Conservative 37.1%vs Labour 23.2% | 2024 Green 39.8%vs Conservative 25.8% | - | - |
| Addlestone South | Conservative 36.9%vs Labour 25.2% | 2024 Conservative 42.0%vs Labour 41.4% | - | - |
| Chertsey Riverside | Conservative 34.3%vs Labour 27.8% | 2024 Labour 45.9%vs Conservative 37.8% | - | - |
| Chertsey St Ann's | Conservative 35.6%vs Labour 26.5% | 2024 Labour 47.2%vs Conservative 34.7% | - | - |
| Cobham and Downside | Conservative 45.9%vs Lib Dem 25.1% | 2024 Conservative 45.8%vs Lib Dem 40.3% | - | - |
| Egham Hythe | Conservative 31.0%vs Labour 28.4% | 2024 Labour 53.8%vs Conservative 37.9% | - | - |
| Egham Town | Conservative 32.6%vs Labour 24.2% | 2024 Others 50.6%vs Conservative 20.9% | - | - |
| Longcross, Lyne & Chertsey South | Conservative 32.0%vs Lib Dem 28.4% | 2024 Lib Dem 70.0%vs Conservative 30.0% | - | - |
| New Haw | Conservative 32.3%vs Lib Dem 27.9% | 2024 Lib Dem 72.7%vs Conservative 20.6% | - | - |
| Ottershaw | Conservative 38.8%vs Labour 21.5% | 2024 Independent 46.1%vs Conservative 24.4% | - | - |
| Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Conservative 47.5%vs Lib Dem 22.8% | 2024 Conservative 59.3%vs Lib Dem 30.2% | - | - |
| Thorpe | Conservative 41.1%vs Labour 19.2% | 2024 Others 47.4%vs Conservative 35.0% | - | - |
| Weybridge Riverside | Conservative 35.9%vs Lib Dem 32.3% | 2024 Lib Dem 60.4%vs Conservative 29.6% | - | - |
| Weybridge St George's Hill | Conservative 37.8%vs Lib Dem 22.0% | 2024 Others 53.0%vs Conservative 29.3% | - | - |
| Woodham & Rowtown | Conservative 42.4%vs Labour 20.6% | 2024 Conservative 58.3%vs Lib Dem 14.3% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Runnymede and Weybridge at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Runnymede and Weybridge at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Philip Hammond | 13.4% | 55.9% | 21.6% | 16,509 | 66.4% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Philip Hammond | 15.5% | 59.7% | 6.7% | 22,134 | 67.8%+1.4 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Philip Hammond | 25.9% | 60.9% | 7.3% | 18,050 | 68.9%+1.1 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Ben Spencer 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 17.7% | 53.2% | 22.7% | 16,072 | 71.4%+2.5 |
| 2024 | Con hold | Ben Spencer | 20.6% | 38.2% | 22.4% | 7,627 | 65.6%-5.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Runnymede and Weybridge
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Runnymede and Weybridge. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate41.0 / 42.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.0 / 71.9vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.8 / 11.1vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied68.0 / 73.7vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate41.0 / 38.8vs 33.7
- ↓Social rent11.8 / 9.5vs 16.8
- ↑Graduate41.0 / 40.1vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.0 / 67.8vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.8 / 12.9vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied68.0 / 70.2vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.8 / 12.8vs 16.8
- ↑Graduate41.0 / 36.0vs 33.7
- ↑Graduate41.0 / 40.5vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.0 / 68.6vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.8 / 14.7vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.