Reading West and Mid Berkshire
South East · County constituency
About the Reading West and Mid Berkshire constituency
Reading West and Mid Berkshire is a county constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Olivia Bailey (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 35.0% to 32.0% for the Conservatives, a majority of 1,361 votes on a 67.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.5% and the Conservatives on 23.7%, a margin of 7.8 points.
Who lives in Reading West and Mid Berkshire? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Reading West and Mid Berkshire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Reading West and Mid Berkshire
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Reading West and Mid Berkshire within West Berkshire and Reading
Reading West and Mid Berkshire crosses council boundaries: West Berkshire (68%), Reading (32%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| West Berkshire | 68% | — |
| Reading | 32% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldermaston | Conservative 39.1%vs Labour 26.3% | 2023 Conservative 51.0%vs Lib Dem 30.2% | - | 36.5% |
| Basildon | Conservative 39.8%vs Labour 26.3% | 2023 Lib Dem 58.6%vs Conservative 41.4% | - | 45.2% |
| Bradfield | Conservative 39.7%vs Labour 24.3% | 2023 Conservative 57.2%vs Lib Dem 34.0% | - | 36.6% |
| Bucklebury | Conservative 41.1%vs Labour 26.4% | 2023 Lib Dem 54.7%vs Conservative 34.4% | - | 52.7% |
| Burghfield & Mortimer | Conservative 35.0%vs Labour 29.1% | 2023 Lib Dem 49.1%vs Conservative 37.2% | - | 44.0% |
| Downlands | Conservative 45.5%vs Lib Dem 29.2% | 2023 Conservative 55.6%vs Lib Dem 24.9% | - | 38.6% |
| Kentwood | Labour 45.9%vs Conservative 28.8% | May 2026 Labour 32.4%vs Conservative 24.8% | Labour share -13.5pp | 46.6% |
| Norcot | Labour 52.3%vs Conservative 21.5% | May 2026 Labour 35.4%vs Reform 23.5% | Labour share -16.9pp | 36.1% |
| Pangbourne | Conservative 38.4%vs Labour 25.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 53.1%vs Conservative 34.8% | - | 45.4% |
| Ridgeway | Labour 35.4%vs Conservative 27.6% | 2023 Green 68.8%vs Conservative 24.9% | - | 45.4% |
| Theale | Labour 29.7%vs Conservative 26.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 70.7%vs Conservative 17.9% | - | 36.5% |
| Tilehurst | Labour 33.7%vs Conservative 27.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 38.4%vs Reform 25.6% | Labour→Lib Dem +20.6pp | 41.3% |
| Tilehurst & Purley | Conservative 35.3%vs Labour 32.2% | 2023 Conservative 45.8%vs Lib Dem 39.1% | - | 36.2% |
| Tilehurst Birch Copse | Labour 34.4%vs Conservative 33.1% | 2023 Conservative 49.9%vs Lib Dem 25.8% | - | 33.0% |
| Tilehurst South & Holybrook | Conservative 33.4%vs Labour 32.8% | 2023 Conservative 48.5%vs Labour 36.9% | - | 30.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Reading West and Mid Berkshire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Reading West and Mid Berkshire at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Richard Benyon Newbury MP | 4.3% | 56.4% | 35.5% | 12,248 | 74.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Richard Benyon Newbury MP | 8.4% | 61.0% | 15.0% | 26,368 | 72.1%-1.9 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Richard Benyon Newbury MP | 14.1% | 61.5% | 21.4% | 24,380 | 73.4%+1.3 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Laura Farris Newbury MP, pre-review boundary | 22.9% | 56.8% | 16.9% | 16,758 | 70.6% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Olivia Bailey | 35.0% | 32.0% | 11.0% | 1,361 | 67.7%-2.9 |
Reading West and Mid Berkshire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Newbury (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Reading West and Mid Berkshire
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Reading West and Mid Berkshire. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied70.2 / 72.2vs 61.9
- ↑Employed62.2 / 63.4vs 57.3
- ↓Social rent12.8 / 12.6vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied70.2 / 68.6vs 61.9
- ↓Leave47.3 / 48.7vs 53.2
- ↑Employed62.2 / 65.2vs 57.3
- ↑Owner-occupied70.2 / 70.9vs 61.9
- ↑Employed62.2 / 61.5vs 57.3
- ↓Social rent12.8 / 11.9vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied70.2 / 70.8vs 61.9
- ↑Employed62.2 / 62.6vs 57.3
- ↓Private rent15.9 / 15.6vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.2 / 73.7vs 61.9
- ↑Employed62.2 / 61.7vs 57.3
- ↓Private rent15.9 / 15.8vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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