Shrewsbury
West Midlands · County constituency · Shropshire
About the Shrewsbury constituency
Shrewsbury is a county constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Julia Buckley (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.5% to 22.4% for the Conservatives, a majority of 11,355 votes on a 67.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 37.3% and Reform UK on 22.1%, a margin of 15.2 points.
Who lives in Shrewsbury? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Shrewsbury vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Shrewsbury
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Shrewsbury within Shropshire
Shrewsbury sits entirely within Shropshire Council. Shropshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Shropshire | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | Labour 40.0%vs Conservative 22.1% | 2025 Lib Dem 48.6%vs Reform 18.0%2025 ward: Abbey, covering 100% of this ward | - | - |
| Bagley | Labour 40.4%vs Conservative 21.3% | 2025 Lib Dem 45.0%vs Reform 22.5% | - | - |
| Battlefield | Labour 41.3%vs Conservative 22.6% | 2025 Reform 32.7%vs Lib Dem 27.3% | - | - |
| Bayston Hill, Column and Sutton | Labour 52.1%vs Conservative 23.1% | 2025 Lib Dem 51.9%vs Labour 23.2%2025 ward: Bayston Hill, covering 38% of this ward | - | - |
| Belle Vue | Labour 55.3%vs Conservative 16.7% | 2025 Labour 55.7%vs Reform 18.8% | - | - |
| Bowbrook | Labour 38.9%vs Conservative 22.0% | 2025 Lib Dem 47.1%vs Reform 24.7%2025 ward: Bicton Heath, covering 100% of this ward | - | - |
| Castlefields and Ditherington | Labour 61.6%vs Conservative 14.1% | 2025 Labour 51.6%vs Reform 22.3% | - | - |
| Copthorne | Labour 37.1%vs Conservative 28.4% | 2025 Lib Dem 53.7%vs Reform 17.5% | - | - |
| Harlescott | Labour 47.9%vs Conservative 20.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 40.1%vs Reform 34.0% | - | - |
| Longden | Labour 33.9%vs Conservative 25.3% | 2025 Lib Dem 54.7%vs Reform 23.2% | - | - |
| Loton | Conservative 35.3%vs Labour 33.5% | 2025 Lib Dem 71.0%vs Reform 18.4%2025 ward: Chirbury & Worthen, covering 50% of this ward | - | - |
| Meole | Labour 43.0%vs Conservative 24.1% | 2025 Lib Dem 57.6%vs Reform 21.3% | - | - |
| Monkmoor | Labour 49.8%vs Conservative 16.2% | 2025 Lib Dem 47.6%vs Reform 24.1% | - | - |
| Porthill | Labour 41.3%vs Conservative 20.1% | 2025 Green 47.5%vs Lib Dem 16.9% | - | - |
| Quarry and Coton Hill | Labour 42.5%vs Conservative 17.9% | 2025 Lib Dem 56.8%vs Reform 17.1% | - | - |
| Radbrook | Labour 40.1%vs Conservative 23.1% | 2025 Green 51.0%vs Reform 21.1% | - | - |
| Rea Valley | Labour 34.1%vs Conservative 31.3% | 2025 Conservative 40.4%vs Reform 30.6% | - | - |
| Sundorne | Labour 56.2%vs Reform 15.1% | 2025 Reform 39.0%vs Labour 38.9%2025 ward: Sundorne & Old Heath, covering 100% of this ward | - | - |
| Tern | Labour 35.2%vs Conservative 30.5% | 2025 Reform 34.6%vs Lib Dem 25.8%2025 ward: Tern, covering 67% of this ward | - | - |
| Underdale | Labour 45.3%vs Conservative 17.1% | 2025 Lib Dem 48.3%vs Reform 23.9% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Shrewsbury at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Shrewsbury at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Daniel Kawczynski Shrewsbury and Atcham MP | 20.6% | 43.9% | 29.0% | 7,944 | 70.3% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Daniel Kawczynski Shrewsbury and Atcham MP | 27.8% | 45.5% | 7.9% | 9,565 | 70.8%+0.5 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Daniel Kawczynski Shrewsbury and Atcham MP | 38.6% | 50.0% | 7.3% | 6,627 | 73.6%+2.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Daniel Kawczynski Shrewsbury and Atcham MP, pre-review boundary | 35.5% | 49.4% | 10.8% | 7,175 | 68.6% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Julia Buckley | 44.5% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 11,355 | 67.3%-1.3 |
Shrewsbury was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Shrewsbury and Atcham (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Shrewsbury
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Shrewsbury. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+26.9 / 27.0vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied66.9 / 64.0vs 61.9
- ↑Owner-occupied66.9 / 68.9vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+26.9 / 25.1vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied66.9 / 70.5vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+26.9 / 25.6vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied66.9 / 67.5vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+26.9 / 30.6vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied66.9 / 71.1vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+26.9 / 26.2vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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