Taunton and Wellington
South West · County constituency · Somerset borough
About the Taunton and Wellington constituency
Taunton and Wellington is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Gideon Amos (Liberal Democrat), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 48.4% to 24.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 11,939 votes on a 63.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 36.7% and Reform UK on 30.4%, a margin of 6.3 points.
Who lives in Taunton and Wellington? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Taunton and Wellington vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Taunton and Wellington
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Taunton and Wellington within Somerset
Taunton and Wellington sits entirely within Somerset Council. Somerset was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Somerset | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2024 | Rowbarton & Staplegrove | LD HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop's Hull & Taunton West | Lib Dem 50.7%vs Conservative 23.4% | 2022 Lib Dem 42.7%vs Independent 32.1% | - | 72.1% |
| Blackdown & Neroche | Lib Dem 47.5%vs Conservative 25.9% | 2022 Lib Dem 54.3%vs Conservative 37.0% | - | 75.9% |
| Comeytrowe & Trull | Lib Dem 53.3%vs Conservative 24.7% | 2022 Lib Dem 63.7%vs Conservative 28.7% | - | 46.0% |
| Lydeard | Lib Dem 49.0%vs Conservative 23.9% | 2022 Lib Dem 60.6%vs Conservative 31.8% | - | 41.6% |
| Monkton & North Curry | Lib Dem 43.5%vs Conservative 29.9% | 2022 Conservative 48.5%vs Lib Dem 40.4% | - | 42.0% |
| Rowbarton & Staplegrove | Lib Dem 50.1%vs Conservative 23.6% | 2022 Lib Dem 59.7%vs Conservative 33.0% | - | 38.6% |
| Taunton East | Lib Dem 50.1%vs Conservative 20.9% | 2022 Lib Dem 59.4%vs Conservative 26.4% | - | 28.7% |
| Taunton North | Lib Dem 45.5%vs Conservative 24.6% | 2022 Lib Dem 46.4%vs Conservative 33.4% | - | 31.2% |
| Taunton South | Lib Dem 54.0%vs Conservative 21.2% | 2022 Lib Dem 65.9%vs Conservative 24.1% | - | 38.0% |
| Upper Tone | Lib Dem 35.6%vs Conservative 32.9% | 2022 Conservative 34.7%vs Green 26.1% | - | 68.3% |
| Wellington | Lib Dem 41.9%vs Conservative 25.8% | 2022 Labour 41.9%vs Conservative 32.4% | - | 47.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Taunton and Wellington at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Taunton and Wellington at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | LD hold | Jeremy Browne Taunton Deane MP | 5.1% | 42.2% | 49.1% | 3,993 | 70.5% |
| 2015predecessor | Con gain from LD | Rebecca Pow Taunton Deane MP | 9.2% | 48.1% | 21.3% | 15,491 | 69.6%-0.9 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Rebecca Pow Taunton Deane MP | 15.4% | 52.9% | 27.7% | 15,887 | 73.8%+4.2 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Rebecca Pow Taunton Deane MP, pre-review boundary | 7.9% | 52.0% | 36.3% | 8,536 | 71.6% |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Gideon Amos | 7.1% | 24.6% | 48.4% | 11,939 | 63.9%-7.7 |
Taunton and Wellington was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Taunton Deane (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Taunton and Wellington
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Taunton and Wellington. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+27.0 / 26.9vs 22.7
- ↑Age 65+27.0 / 27.6vs 22.7
- ↑Age 65+27.0 / 26.2vs 22.7
- ↑Age 65+27.0 / 26.6vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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