Southport
North West · County constituency
About the Southport constituency
Southport is a county constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Patrick Hurley (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 38.3% to 25.4% for the Conservatives, a majority of 5,789 votes on a 61.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.1% and Reform UK on 27.2%, a margin of 3.9 points.
Who lives in Southport? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Southport vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Southport
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Southport within Sefton and West Lancashire
Southport crosses council boundaries: Sefton (83%), West Lancashire (17%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Sefton | 83% | View projection › |
| West Lancashire | 17% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birkdale | Labour 42.5%vs Conservative 21.8% | May 2026 Lib Dem 34.3%vs Reform 28.7% | Labour→Lib Dem +20.2pp | - |
| Burscough Bridge & Rufford | Labour 38.7%vs Conservative 30.5% | May 2026 Reform 28.8%vs Others 26.4% | Labour→Reform +18.1pp | 49.0% |
| Cambridge | Labour 32.6%vs Conservative 27.9% | May 2026 Lib Dem 36.5%vs Reform 31.1% | Labour→Lib Dem +22.9pp | - |
| Duke's | Labour 33.4%vs Conservative 26.1% | May 2026 Lib Dem 36.7%vs Reform 24.2% | Labour→Lib Dem +24.8pp | - |
| Kew | Labour 44.7%vs Conservative 20.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 37.5%vs Reform 32.1% | Labour→Lib Dem +25.4pp | - |
| Meols | Labour 34.2%vs Conservative 25.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 45.2%vs Reform 30.2% | Labour→Lib Dem +27.2pp | - |
| North Meols & Hesketh Bank | Conservative 34.9%vs Labour 33.0% | May 2026 Conservative 51.8%vs Reform 29.1% | Conservative share +16.9pp | 42.9% |
| Norwood | Labour 47.7%vs Conservative 19.0% | May 2026 Reform 33.1%vs Green 27.8% | Labour→Reform +22.9pp | - |
| Tarleton Village | Conservative 35.3%vs Labour 33.0% | May 2026 Conservative 45.6%vs Reform 32.3% | Conservative share +10.3pp | 47.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Southport at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Southport at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | John Pugh | 9.4% | 35.8% | 49.6% | 6,024 | 65.1% |
| 2015 | LD hold | John Pugh | 19.2% | 28.0% | 31.0% | 1,322 | 65.5%+0.4 |
| 2017 | Con gain from LD | Damien Moore | 32.6% | 38.7% | 26.4% | 2,914 | 69.1%+3.6 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Damien Moore 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 36.8% | 50.4% | 12.5% | 6,771 | 67.2%-1.9 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Patrick Hurley | 38.3% | 25.4% | 13.0% | 5,789 | 61.2%-6.0 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Southport
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Southport. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Age 65+29.6 / 31.2vs 22.7
- ↓Social rent7.0 / 9.9vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied68.6 / 71.3vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+29.6 / 30.7vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.6 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent7.0 / 10.4vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied68.6 / 70.3vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+29.6 / 32.1vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3523.7 / 21.4vs 30.2
- ↓Social rent7.0 / 9.5vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied68.6 / 70.2vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+29.6 / 33.5vs 22.7
- ↓Social rent7.0 / 9.6vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3523.7 / 21.6vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+29.6 / 33.5vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.