St Albans
East of England · County constituency · St Albans borough
About the St Albans constituency
St Albans is a county constituency in the East of England. The sitting MP is Daisy Cooper (Liberal Democrat), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 56.6% to 18.2% for the Conservatives, a majority of 19,834 votes on a 71.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 59.3% and Reform UK on 16.6%, a margin of 42.6 points.
Who lives in St Albans? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did St Albans vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of St Albans
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
St Albans within St Albans
St Albans sits entirely within St Albans Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| St Albans | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batchwood | Lib Dem 56.0%vs Conservative 15.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 41.9%vs Others 23.1% | Lib Dem share -14.1pp | - |
| Bernards Heath | Lib Dem 57.9%vs Conservative 16.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 54.1%vs Green 19.2% | Lib Dem share -3.8pp | - |
| Clarence | Lib Dem 59.3%vs Conservative 13.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 47.2%vs Green 38.5% | Lib Dem share -12.1pp | - |
| Colney Heath | Lib Dem 58.9%vs Conservative 20.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 42.5%vs Conservative 23.2% | Lib Dem share -16.4pp | - |
| Cunningham | Lib Dem 59.7%vs Conservative 16.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 54.1%vs Reform 15.0% | Lib Dem share -5.6pp | - |
| Hill End | Lib Dem 63.6%vs Conservative 14.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 62.5%vs Green 13.3% | Lib Dem share -1.1pp | - |
| London Colney | Lib Dem 46.2%vs Conservative 21.7% | May 2026 Lib Dem 34.9%vs Reform 25.3% | Lib Dem share -11.2pp | - |
| Marshalswick East & Jersey Farm | Lib Dem 52.1%vs Conservative 26.7% | May 2026 Lib Dem 49.2%vs Conservative 21.6% | Lib Dem share -2.9pp | - |
| Marshalswick West | Lib Dem 60.2%vs Conservative 19.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 57.5%vs Conservative 14.5% | Lib Dem share -2.6pp | - |
| Park Street | Lib Dem 54.8%vs Conservative 22.9% | May 2026 Lib Dem 42.2%vs Reform 27.1% | Lib Dem share -12.7pp | - |
| Sopwell | Lib Dem 58.2%vs Conservative 15.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 63.1%vs Green 17.7% | Lib Dem share +4.9pp | - |
| St Peters | Lib Dem 53.3%vs Conservative 13.2% | May 2026 Lib Dem 49.4%vs Green 31.8% | Lib Dem share -3.9pp | - |
| St Stephen | Lib Dem 52.2%vs Conservative 27.2% | May 2026 Lib Dem 43.0%vs Reform 27.8% | Lib Dem share -9.2pp | - |
| Verulam | Lib Dem 59.6%vs Conservative 19.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 57.3%vs Conservative 15.2% | Lib Dem share -2.4pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for St Albans at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won St Albans at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Anne Main | 17.6% | 40.8% | 36.4% | 2,305 | 75.4% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Anne Main | 23.3% | 46.6% | 18.5% | 12,732 | 71.8%-3.6 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Anne Main | 23.0% | 43.1% | 32.4% | 6,109 | 78.3%+6.5 |
| 2019notional | Liberal Democrat winner | Daisy Cooper 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 8.8% | 39.3% | 49.9% | 5,905 | 78.0%-0.3 |
| 2024 | LD hold | Daisy Cooper | 10.1% | 18.2% | 56.6% | 19,834 | 71.0%-7.0 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like St Albans
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to St Albans. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate51.7 / 51.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.8 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↓No quals11.0 / 10.9vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate51.7 / 49.0vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.8 / 38.5vs 53.2
- ↓No quals11.0 / 12.2vs 18.0
- ↓Leave37.8 / 38.6vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate51.7 / 48.7vs 33.7
- ↓No quals11.0 / 11.5vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate51.7 / 58.1vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.8 / 33.3vs 53.2
- ↓No quals11.0 / 9.5vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate51.7 / 44.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.8 / 45.0vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied68.0 / 69.7vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.