Truro and Falmouth
South West · County constituency · Cornwall borough
About the Truro and Falmouth constituency
Truro and Falmouth is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Jayne Kirkham (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 41.4% to 25.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 8,151 votes on a 68.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 32.2% and Reform UK on 26.3%, a margin of 5.9 points.
Who lives in Truro and Falmouth? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Truro and Falmouth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Truro and Falmouth
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Truro and Falmouth within Cornwall
Truro and Falmouth sits entirely within Cornwall Council. Cornwall was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Cornwall | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2024 | Falmouth Penwerris | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falmouth Arwenack | Labour 49.4%vs Conservative 23.7% | 2021 Labour 37.3%vs Conservative 31.8% | - | 71.6% |
| Falmouth Boslowick | Labour 44.5%vs Conservative 25.6% | 2021 Conservative 40.3%vs Labour 33.6% | - | 42.5% |
| Falmouth Penwerris | Labour 61.0%vs Conservative 15.8% | 2021 Labour 64.5%vs Conservative 19.7% | - | 55.2% |
| Falmouth Trescobeas & Budock | Labour 49.3%vs Conservative 23.6% | 2021 Independent 32.9%vs Labour 32.1% | - | - |
| Feock & Kea | Conservative 39.0%vs Labour 26.7% | 2021 Conservative 59.1%vs Green 18.4% | - | - |
| Gloweth, Malabar & Shortlanesend | Labour 39.0%vs Conservative 25.9% | 2021 Conservative 34.2%vs Independent 23.5% | - | - |
| Mylor, Perranarworthal & Ponsanooth | Conservative 32.5%vs Labour 25.9% | 2021 Conservative 38.0%vs Lib Dem 36.0% | - | - |
| Penryn | Labour 42.8%vs Conservative 17.0% | 2021 Green 33.4%vs Labour 26.5% | - | - |
| Probus & St Erme | Labour 40.1%vs Conservative 26.0% | 2021 Conservative 56.5%vs Green 43.5% | - | - |
| St Goran, Tregony & the Roseland | Labour 38.7%vs Conservative 27.4% | 2021 Independent 55.4%vs Conservative 33.3% | - | - |
| St Newlyn East, Cubert & Goonhavern | Labour 38.6%vs Conservative 27.8% | 2021 Conservative 46.6%vs Independent 34.0% | - | - |
| Threemilestone & Chacewater | Labour 42.6%vs Conservative 26.6% | 2021 Independent 37.8%vs Conservative 30.8% | - | - |
| Truro Boscawen & Redannick | Labour 37.9%vs Conservative 21.7% | 2021 Lib Dem 38.9%vs Conservative 26.7% | - | - |
| Truro Moresk & Trehaverne | Labour 41.4%vs Conservative 25.7% | 2021 Conservative 29.8%vs Independent 28.7% | - | - |
| Truro Tregolls | Labour 34.4%vs Conservative 22.8% | 2021 Independent 74.1%vs Conservative 15.2% | - | 51.9% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Truro and Falmouth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Truro and Falmouth at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from LD | Sarah Newton | 9.6% | 41.7% | 40.8% | 435 | 69.1% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Sarah Newton | 15.2% | 44.0% | 16.8% | 14,000 | 70.0%+0.9 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Sarah Newton | 37.7% | 44.4% | 14.9% | 3,792 | 75.8%+5.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Cherilyn Mackrory 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 38.8% | 46.8% | 10.8% | 4,459 | 75.3%-0.5 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Jayne Kirkham | 41.3% | 25.1% | 13.0% | 8,151 | 68.9%-6.4 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Truro and Falmouth
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Truro and Falmouth. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave45.9 / 47.0vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+27.7 / 27.7vs 22.7
- ↓Employed53.3 / 51.6vs 57.3
- ↓No quals13.0 / 14.6vs 18.0
- ↓Employed53.3 / 54.9vs 57.3
- ↑Age 65+27.7 / 25.2vs 22.7
- ↑Age 65+27.7 / 28.9vs 22.7
- ↓No quals13.0 / 14.0vs 18.0
- ↓Leave45.9 / 48.7vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+27.7 / 30.7vs 22.7
- ↓Social rent12.8 / 10.4vs 16.8
- ↓Employed53.3 / 49.8vs 57.3
- ↓Leave45.9 / 46.1vs 53.2
- ↓No quals13.0 / 13.7vs 18.0
- ↓Social rent12.8 / 13.2vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.