Constituency profile

Wellingborough and Rushden

East Midlands · County constituency · North Northamptonshire borough

Gen Kitchen MP
Sitting MP

Gen Kitchen

Labour

First elected February 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
East Midlands
County constituency, North Northamptonshire council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
61.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +9.7pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +4.4pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
MidlandsStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

About the Wellingborough and Rushden constituency

Wellingborough and Rushden is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Gen Kitchen (Labour), first elected in February 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 40.3% to 27.9% for the Conservatives, a majority of 5,486 votes on a 56.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 32.2% and Labour on 27.8%, a margin of 4.4 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.

Who lives in Wellingborough and Rushden? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
61.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
24.1%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
21.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
63.1%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
35.6%
UK average ~36%
Median age
40.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
22.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
29.4%
UK average ~28%

How did Wellingborough and Rushden vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 5,486 votes (12.4pp) · turnout 56.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Wellingborough and Rushden

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Wellingborough and Rushden within North Northamptonshire

Wellingborough and Rushden sits entirely within North Northamptonshire Council. North Northamptonshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
North Northamptonshire
65 LSOAs
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
24 Mar 2023Rushden South
North Northamptonshire
Con HOLD

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Brickhill and QueenswayLabour 43.5%vs Conservative 25.5%2021 Conservative 53.7%vs Labour 37.9%--
Croyland and SwanspoolLabour 42.4%vs Reform 22.9%2021 Conservative 49.0%vs Labour 46.3%--
FinedonLabour 44.9%vs Conservative 26.0%2021 Conservative 50.5%vs Labour 39.6%--
Hatton ParkLabour 37.1%vs Conservative 29.4%2021 Conservative 65.6%vs Labour 30.7%--
Higham FerrersLabour 36.3%vs Conservative 30.8%2021 Conservative 59.3%vs Independent 14.7%--
IrchesterLabour 35.4%vs Conservative 35.2%2021 Conservative 63.9%vs Labour 23.0%--
IrthlingboroughLabour 42.2%vs Conservative 30.8%2021 Conservative 55.9%vs Labour 33.6%--
Rushden Pemberton WestLabour 36.3%vs Conservative 30.8%2021 Conservative 69.8%vs Labour 16.6%--
Rushden SouthLabour 38.8%vs Conservative 27.6%2021 Conservative 67.0%vs Labour 19.4%--

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Wellingborough and Rushden at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Wellingborough and Rushden at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon holdPeter Bone Wellingborough MP25.4%48.2%17.1%3.2% UKIP0.9%5.1%11,78767.2%
2015predecessorCon holdPeter Bone Wellingborough MP19.5%52.1%4.4%19.6% UKIP4.4%-16,39767.9%+0.7
2017predecessorCon holdPeter Bone Wellingborough MP34.0%57.4%3.3%3.4% UKIP1.8%-12,46067.2%-0.7
2019notionalConservative winnerPeter Bone Wellingborough MP, pre-review boundary28.3%62.4%6.7%-2.7%-16,03861.4%
2024Lab gain from ConGen Kitchen40.3%27.8%3.6%21.5% Ref6.1%0.6%5,48656.7%-4.7

Wellingborough and Rushden was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Wellingborough (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Wellingborough and Rushden

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wellingborough and Rushden. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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