Woking
South East · Borough constituency · Woking borough
About the Woking constituency
Woking is a borough constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Mr Will Forster (Liberal Democrat), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 49.9% to 26.5% for the Conservatives, a majority of 11,246 votes on a 66.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 49.9% and Reform UK on 19.7%, a margin of 30.2 points.
Who lives in Woking? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Woking vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Woking
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Woking within Woking
Woking sits entirely within Woking Council. Woking was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Woking | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | Hoe Valley | LD HOLD | LD 63% Ref 21% Con 7% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byfleet and West Byfleet | Lib Dem 42.6%vs Conservative 28.7% | 2024 Independent 44.7%vs Conservative 34.3% | - | 35.0% |
| Canalside | Lib Dem 43.1%vs Conservative 25.2% | 2024 Lib Dem 42.2%vs Labour 41.2% | - | 36.0% |
| Goldsworth Park | Lib Dem 51.8%vs Conservative 24.2% | 2024 Lib Dem 68.5%vs Conservative 16.5% | - | 33.0% |
| Heathlands | Lib Dem 48.5%vs Conservative 29.6% | 2024 Lib Dem 51.4%vs Conservative 28.9% | - | 41.0% |
| Hoe Valley | Lib Dem 57.4%vs Conservative 21.1% | 2024 Lib Dem 71.2%vs Conservative 16.2% | - | 31.0% |
| Horsell | Lib Dem 53.3%vs Conservative 27.1% | 2024 Lib Dem 66.7%vs Conservative 21.8% | - | 45.0% |
| Knaphill | Lib Dem 44.3%vs Conservative 29.7% | 2024 Lib Dem 46.8%vs Conservative 40.3% | - | 38.0% |
| Mount Hermon | Lib Dem 54.6%vs Conservative 23.2% | 2024 Lib Dem 61.6%vs Conservative 20.1% | - | 37.0% |
| Pyrford | Lib Dem 47.8%vs Conservative 30.9% | 2024 Lib Dem 51.0%vs Conservative 38.2% | - | 40.0% |
| St John's | Lib Dem 54.0%vs Conservative 24.2% | 2024 Lib Dem 66.9%vs Conservative 17.4% | - | 36.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Woking at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Woking at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Jonathan Lord | 8.0% | 50.3% | 37.4% | 6,807 | 71.5% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Jonathan Lord | 16.1% | 56.2% | 11.6% | 20,810 | 70.0%-1.5 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Jonathan Lord | 23.9% | 54.1% | 17.6% | 16,724 | 72.5%+2.5 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Jonathan Lord 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 16.7% | 48.3% | 31.1% | 8,683 | 70.4%-2.1 |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Will Forster | 9.2% | 26.5% | 49.9% | 11,246 | 66.0%-4.4 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Woking
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Woking. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate44.7 / 44.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.2 / 45.0vs 53.2
- ↑Employed63.6 / 63.2vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate44.7 / 41.6vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.2 / 46.7vs 53.2
- ↓No quals13.2 / 12.8vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate44.7 / 42.6vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.2 / 46.2vs 53.2
- ↑Employed63.6 / 62.5vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate44.7 / 44.6vs 33.7
- ↓Social rent11.6 / 9.7vs 16.8
- ↓No quals13.2 / 12.6vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate44.7 / 51.7vs 33.7
- ↓Leave44.2 / 37.8vs 53.2
- ↑Employed63.6 / 64.0vs 57.3
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.