Beckenham and Penge
London · Borough constituency · Bromley borough
About the Beckenham and Penge constituency
Beckenham and Penge is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Liam Conlon (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.3% to 24.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 12,905 votes on a 67.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 38.2% and the Conservatives on 24.7%, a margin of 13.5 points.
Who lives in Beckenham and Penge? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Beckenham and Penge vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Beckenham and Penge
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Beckenham and Penge within Bromley
Beckenham and Penge sits entirely within Bromley Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Bromley | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckenham Town & Copers Cope | Labour 43.5%vs Conservative 23.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 34.5%vs Conservative 28.4% | Labour→Lib Dem +26.4pp | 50.1% |
| Clock House | Labour 53.5%vs Conservative 18.0% | May 2026 Labour 46.4%vs Green 20.0% | Labour share -7.1pp | 51.8% |
| Crystal Palace & Anerley | Labour 58.3%vs Conservative 14.3% | May 2026 Labour 48.3%vs Green 34.5% | Labour share -10.0pp | 41.7% |
| Kelsey & Eden Park | Labour 44.5%vs Conservative 32.8% | May 2026 Conservative 37.2%vs Labour 26.8% | Labour→Conservative +11.1pp | 53.5% |
| Penge & Cator | Labour 60.5%vs Conservative 14.5% | May 2026 Labour 44.7%vs Green 32.2% | Labour share -15.8pp | 44.4% |
| Shortlands & Park Langley | Labour 41.0%vs Conservative 36.5% | May 2026 Conservative 46.1%vs Reform 15.7% | Labour→Conservative +17.9pp | 53.8% |
| West Wickham | Labour 39.9%vs Conservative 37.7% | May 2026 Conservative 50.0%vs Reform 18.4% | Labour→Conservative +19.3pp | 56.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Beckenham and Penge at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Beckenham and Penge at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Bob Stewart Beckenham MP | 14.5% | 57.9% | 20.6% | 17,784 | 72.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Bob Stewart Beckenham MP | 19.4% | 57.3% | 6.9% | 18,471 | 72.4%+0.4 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Bob Stewart Beckenham MP | 30.1% | 59.3% | 7.9% | 15,087 | 76.0%+3.6 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Ellie Reeves Lewisham West and Penge MP, pre-review boundary | 40.1% | 39.1% | 16.1% | 631 | 78.5% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Liam Conlon | 49.3% | 24.6% | 8.5% | 12,905 | 67.6%-10.9 |
Beckenham and Penge was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Beckenham (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Beckenham and Penge
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Beckenham and Penge. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate48.6 / 51.7vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.6 / 37.8vs 53.2
- ↑Employed63.7 / 64.0vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate48.6 / 44.7vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.6 / 44.2vs 53.2
- ↑Employed63.7 / 63.6vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate48.6 / 49.4vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.6 / 40.8vs 53.2
- ↓No quals12.1 / 12.4vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate48.6 / 48.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.6 / 41.1vs 53.2
- ↓No quals12.1 / 14.3vs 18.0
- ↓Leave40.6 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate48.6 / 44.5vs 33.7
- ↓No quals12.1 / 13.7vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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