Blackpool South
North West · Borough constituency · Blackpool borough
About the Blackpool South constituency
Blackpool South is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Chris Webb (Labour), first elected in May 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 48.1% to 28.6% for Reform UK, a majority of 6,848 votes on a 45.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 42.6% and Reform UK on 39.6%, a margin of 3.0 points.
Who lives in Blackpool South? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Blackpool South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Blackpool South
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Blackpool South within Blackpool
Blackpool South sits entirely within Blackpool Council. Blackpool was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Blackpool | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2024 | Marton | Ref GAIN from Lab | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomfield | Labour 49.2%vs Reform 31.0% | 2023 Labour 47.5%vs Independent 31.8% | - | 18.6% |
| Brunswick | Labour 49.6%vs Reform 29.5% | 2023 Labour 67.5%vs Conservative 32.5% | - | 23.1% |
| Claremont | Labour 52.4%vs Reform 28.7% | 2023 Labour 60.9%vs Conservative 23.4% | - | 21.4% |
| Clifton | Labour 47.1%vs Reform 30.6% | 2023 Labour 64.6%vs Conservative 35.4% | - | 23.3% |
| Hawes Side | Labour 50.1%vs Reform 28.4% | 2023 Labour 58.0%vs Conservative 42.0% | - | 22.7% |
| Highfield | Labour 45.5%vs Reform 29.2% | 2023 Labour 47.8%vs Conservative 47.2% | - | 35.2% |
| Layton | Labour 50.4%vs Reform 26.6% | 2023 Labour 52.1%vs Conservative 27.1% | - | 29.7% |
| Marton | Labour 47.3%vs Reform 26.1% | 2023 Labour 54.0%vs Conservative 41.0% | - | 31.6% |
| Park | Labour 48.2%vs Reform 29.8% | 2023 Labour 61.8%vs Conservative 38.2% | - | 20.1% |
| Squires Gate | Labour 43.4%vs Reform 29.1% | 2023 Conservative 55.8%vs Labour 33.5% | - | 33.5% |
| Stanley | Labour 41.2%vs Reform 29.7% | 2023 Conservative 65.4%vs Labour 34.6% | - | 28.8% |
| Talbot | Labour 49.9%vs Reform 27.7% | 2023 Labour 58.9%vs Conservative 31.9% | - | 23.5% |
| Tyldesley | Labour 52.1%vs Reform 24.0% | 2023 Labour 50.5%vs Conservative 36.5% | - | 28.7% |
| Victoria | Labour 49.6%vs Reform 29.6% | 2023 Labour 54.5%vs Conservative 37.9% | - | 21.0% |
| Warbreck | Labour 44.3%vs Reform 27.9% | 2023 Conservative 45.9%vs Labour 42.4% | - | 26.3% |
| Waterloo | Labour 47.1%vs Reform 29.9% | 2023 Labour 39.4%vs Conservative 36.0% | - | 33.6% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Blackpool South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Blackpool South at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Gordon Marsden | 41.1% | 35.8% | 14.4% | 1,852 | 55.8% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Gordon Marsden | 41.8% | 33.8% | 2.3% | 2,585 | 56.5%+0.7 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Gordon Marsden | 50.3% | 43.1% | 1.8% | 2,523 | 59.8%+3.3 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Scott Benton 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 40.1% | 48.8% | 3.5% | 3,700 | 55.8%-4.0 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Chris Webb | 48.1% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 6,848 | 45.4%-10.4 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Blackpool South
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Blackpool South. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave67.8 / 70.5vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate22.1 / 19.6vs 33.7
- ↑No quals25.2 / 26.2vs 18.0
- ↑Leave67.8 / 63.4vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent34.9 / 28.3vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate22.1 / 26.6vs 33.7
- ↑Leave67.8 / 64.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate22.1 / 25.1vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied54.0 / 55.3vs 61.9
- ↑Leave67.8 / 62.5vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent34.9 / 29.5vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate22.1 / 25.2vs 33.7
- ↑Leave67.8 / 66.7vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate22.1 / 24.5vs 33.7
- ↑No quals25.2 / 24.2vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.