Doncaster Central
Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · Doncaster borough
About the Doncaster Central constituency
Doncaster Central is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Sally Jameson (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.2% to 21.0% for the Conservatives, a majority of 9,551 votes on a 50.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 35.0% and Labour on 33.2%, a margin of 1.8 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Doncaster Central? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Doncaster Central vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Doncaster Central
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Doncaster Central within Doncaster
Doncaster Central sits entirely within Doncaster Council. Doncaster was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Doncaster | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2024 | Town | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armthorpe | Labour 47.6%vs Reform 21.2% | 2021 Labour 56.9%vs Conservative 35.4% | - | 24.6% |
| Balby South | Labour 48.1%vs Reform 20.3% | 2021 Labour 55.8%vs Conservative 36.8% | - | 25.3% |
| Bessacarr | Labour 45.6%vs Conservative 25.8% | 2021 Conservative 46.0%vs Labour 39.4% | - | 38.9% |
| Edenthorpe & Kirk Sandall | Labour 46.9%vs Conservative 21.4% | 2021 Labour 49.8%vs Conservative 38.5% | - | 30.7% |
| Hexthorpe & Balby North | Labour 48.1%vs Reform 21.4% | 2021 Labour 54.5%vs Conservative 18.5% | - | 25.6% |
| Tickhill & Wadsworth | Labour 37.7%vs Conservative 29.6% | 2021 Conservative 61.2%vs Labour 25.0% | - | 37.4% |
| Town | Labour 47.4%vs Reform 23.4% | 2021 Labour 54.3%vs Conservative 27.5% | - | 29.9% |
| Wheatley Hills & Intake | Labour 48.3%vs Reform 20.7% | 2021 Labour 51.9%vs Conservative 28.7% | - | 28.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Doncaster Central at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Doncaster Central at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Rosie Winterton | 39.7% | 24.8% | 21.1% | 6,229 | 57.2% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Rosie Winterton | 49.1% | 20.7% | 4.2% | 10,093 | 56.8%-0.4 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Rosie Winterton | 57.9% | 34.4% | 2.3% | 10,131 | 60.0%+3.2 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Rosie Winterton 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 39.4% | 36.6% | 4.1% | 1,271 | 61.4%+1.4 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Sally Jameson | 46.2% | 21.0% | 3.2% | 9,551 | 50.8%-10.6 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Doncaster Central
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Doncaster Central. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave66.7 / 64.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 25.1vs 33.7
- ↑No quals24.2 / 20.9vs 18.0
- ↑Leave66.7 / 66.2vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 24.1vs 33.7
- ↑No quals24.2 / 21.1vs 18.0
- ↑Leave66.7 / 63.2vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 26.6vs 33.7
- ↑No quals24.2 / 22.6vs 18.0
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 25.4vs 33.7
- ↑Leave66.7 / 61.6vs 53.2
- ↑No quals24.2 / 22.1vs 18.0
- ↑Leave66.7 / 68.7vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.5 / 21.9vs 33.7
- ↑No quals24.2 / 23.4vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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