Telford
West Midlands · Borough constituency · Telford and Wrekin borough
About the Telford constituency
Telford is a borough constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Shaun Davies (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.7% to 24.8% for Reform UK, a majority of 8,102 votes on a 55.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 34.5% and Labour on 32.9%, a margin of 1.6 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Telford? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Telford vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Telford
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Telford within Telford and Wrekin
Telford sits entirely within Telford and Wrekin Council. Telford and Wrekin was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Telford and Wrekin | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | Malinslee & Dawley Bank | Lab HOLD | Lab 43% Ref 41% Con 8% |
| 15 Nov 2024 | The Nedge | Lab HOLD | — |
| 7 Jun 2024 | The Nedge | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookside | Labour 45.2%vs Reform 26.9% | 2023 Labour 74.5%vs Conservative 14.5% | - | 22.9% |
| Dawley & Aqueduct | Labour 44.9%vs Reform 24.5% | 2023 Labour 62.9%vs Conservative 19.8% | - | 30.8% |
| Horsehay & Lightmoor | Labour 42.3%vs Conservative 25.8% | 2023 Labour 61.5%vs Independent 23.8% | - | 32.9% |
| Ironbridge Gorge | Labour 48.8%vs Conservative 22.2% | 2023 Labour 80.5%vs Conservative 12.2% | - | 45.2% |
| Ketley | Labour 44.1%vs Reform 24.4% | 2023 Labour 52.5%vs Conservative 32.5% | - | 32.6% |
| Lawley | Labour 43.6%vs Reform 22.1% | 2023 Labour 48.4%vs Lib Dem 24.7% | - | 30.1% |
| Madeley & Sutton Hill | Labour 43.7%vs Reform 25.8% | 2023 Labour 66.4%vs Conservative 25.2% | - | 35.1% |
| Malinslee & Dawley Bank | Labour 48.8%vs Reform 25.5% | 2023 Labour 77.9%vs Conservative 18.3% | - | 29.2% |
| Oakengates & Ketley Bank | Labour 43.1%vs Reform 27.6% | 2023 Labour 56.1%vs Conservative 23.3% | - | 26.2% |
| Overdale & The Rock | Labour 50.0%vs Reform 22.4% | 2023 Labour 56.9%vs Conservative 28.8% | - | 28.6% |
| Priorslee | Labour 38.1%vs Conservative 32.7% | 2023 Conservative 53.9%vs Labour 38.8% | - | 41.8% |
| St Georges | Labour 43.5%vs Reform 27.1% | 2023 Labour 63.2%vs Conservative 29.5% | - | 31.4% |
| The Nedge | Labour 44.5%vs Reform 26.1% | 2023 Labour 57.0%vs Conservative 21.6% | - | 32.7% |
| Woodside | Labour 48.1%vs Reform 24.6% | 2023 Labour 76.7%vs Conservative 19.0% | - | 21.5% |
| Wrockwardine Wood & Trench | Labour 47.2%vs Reform 22.1% | 2023 Labour 79.3%vs Conservative 20.7% | - | 30.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Telford at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Telford at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | David Wright | 38.7% | 36.3% | 15.5% | 978 | 63.5% |
| 2015 | Con gain from Lab | Lucy Allan | 37.8% | 39.6% | 2.3% | 730 | 61.4%-2.1 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Lucy Allan | 47.1% | 48.7% | 2.1% | 720 | 65.6%+4.2 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Lucy Allan 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 34.3% | 59.4% | 6.2% | 10,900 | 61.5%-4.1 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Shaun Davies | 44.7% | 21.4% | 3.8% | 8,102 | 55.2%-6.3 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Telford
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Telford. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave66.2 / 66.7vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.1 / 24.5vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied56.6 / 59.1vs 61.9
- ↑Leave66.2 / 64.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.1 / 25.1vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied56.6 / 55.3vs 61.9
- ↑Leave66.2 / 63.2vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.1 / 26.6vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied56.6 / 59.1vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate24.1 / 25.4vs 33.7
- ↑Leave66.2 / 61.6vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied56.6 / 58.2vs 61.9
- ↑Leave66.2 / 66.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.1 / 25.1vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied56.6 / 58.7vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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