Constituency profile

Bridlington and The Wolds

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · East Riding of Yorkshire borough

Charlie Dewhirst MP
Sitting MP

Charlie Dewhirst

Conservative

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
County constituency, East Riding of Yorkshire council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
61.2% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +9.3pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +0.4pp
Vulnerability score 7/10 (Conservative projected to lose)
NorthernStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

About the Bridlington and The Wolds constituency

Bridlington and The Wolds is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Charlie Dewhirst (Conservative), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 34.6% to 27.3% for Labour, a majority of 3,125 votes on a 57.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 33.9% and the Conservatives on 33.5%, a margin of 0.4 points - a projected change of hands from the Conservatives.

Who lives in Bridlington and The Wolds? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
61.2%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
26.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
21.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
68.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
31.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
51.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
34.8%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
21.1%
UK average ~28%

How did Bridlington and The Wolds vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 3,125 votes (7.3pp) · turnout 57.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Bridlington and The Wolds

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Bridlington and The Wolds within East Riding of Yorkshire

Bridlington and The Wolds sits entirely within East Riding of Yorkshire Council. East Riding of Yorkshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
East Riding of Yorkshire
58 LSOAs
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
19 Jul 2024East Wolds and Coastal
East Riding of Yorkshire
Con HOLDCon 42% LD 24% Lab 15%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Bridlington Central and Old TownConservative 29.5%vs Reform 28.7%2023 Lib Dem 35.6%vs Independent 26.4%-31.7%
Bridlington NorthConservative 35.6%vs Labour 24.8%2023 Lib Dem 57.8%vs Conservative 32.2%-35.7%
Bridlington SouthLabour 32.0%vs Conservative 28.0%2023 Others 43.5%vs Labour 19.6%-24.1%
Driffield and RuralConservative 30.8%vs Labour 28.3%2023 Conservative 36.0%vs Labour 27.1%-22.4%
East Wolds and CoastalConservative 37.4%vs Labour 26.7%2023 Conservative 55.3%vs Labour 16.7%-36.0%
North HoldernessConservative 33.9%vs Reform 28.2%2023 Independent 61.5%vs Conservative 17.3%-36.7%
Wolds WeightonConservative 42.5%vs Labour 28.1%2023 Conservative 43.9%vs Labour 13.8%-46.5%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Bridlington and The Wolds at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Bridlington and The Wolds at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon holdGreg Knight East Yorkshire MP20.3%47.5%21.2%4.2% UKIP1.5%5.4%13,48664.0%
2015predecessorCon holdGreg Knight East Yorkshire MP20.7%50.6%5.9%17.9% UKIP3.5%1.4%14,93361.7%-2.3
2017predecessorCon holdGreg Knight East Yorkshire MP30.5%58.3%4.0%3.7% UKIP1.7%1.9%15,00666.6%+4.9
2019notionalConservative winnerGreg Knight East Yorkshire MP, pre-review boundary19.9%66.6%7.5%-2.8%3.2%21,68564.1%
2024Con holdCharlie Dewhirst27.3%34.6%7.2%24.1% Ref3.7%3.1%3,12557.7%-6.4

Bridlington and The Wolds was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat East Yorkshire (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Bridlington and The Wolds

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Bridlington and The Wolds. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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